Ferrari leads trader consensus at 54% implied probability for the Japanese Grand Prix constructor fastest lap, buoyed by Charles Leclerc's strong FP1 pace at Suzuka and consistent sector times in FP2 long runs, positioning them for a late-race soft tire push. Mercedes follows closely at 47%, with Lewis Hamilton's quali simulation hinting at single-lap potential, while Red Bull's 41% reflects Max Verstappen's FP1 dominance and proven race pace despite McLaren's FP2 topping by Lando Norris. The bunched top outcomes underscore Suzuka's high-speed demands favoring aero-efficient cars, tire strategy flexibility, and clean air opportunities amid no major reliability issues or weather disruptions altering the tight field dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоAlpine 78%
Audi Revolut 78%
Tgr Haas 78%
Racing Bulls 78%
Alpine
78%
Audi Revolut
78%
Tgr Haas
78%
Racing Bulls
78%
Cadillac
77%
Ferrari
53%
Mercedes
47%
Mclaren Mastercard
41%
Red Bull
41%
Aston Martin
-
Williams
-
Alpine 78%
Audi Revolut 78%
Tgr Haas 78%
Racing Bulls 78%
Alpine
78%
Audi Revolut
78%
Tgr Haas
78%
Racing Bulls
78%
Cadillac
77%
Ferrari
53%
Mercedes
47%
Mclaren Mastercard
41%
Red Bull
41%
Aston Martin
-
Williams
-
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 11, 2026, 7:48 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ferrari leads trader consensus at 54% implied probability for the Japanese Grand Prix constructor fastest lap, buoyed by Charles Leclerc's strong FP1 pace at Suzuka and consistent sector times in FP2 long runs, positioning them for a late-race soft tire push. Mercedes follows closely at 47%, with Lewis Hamilton's quali simulation hinting at single-lap potential, while Red Bull's 41% reflects Max Verstappen's FP1 dominance and proven race pace despite McLaren's FP2 topping by Lando Norris. The bunched top outcomes underscore Suzuka's high-speed demands favoring aero-efficient cars, tire strategy flexibility, and clean air opportunities amid no major reliability issues or weather disruptions altering the tight field dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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