Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a bold, fiery track blending violin virtuosity and high-energy staging that dominated both jury and public votes in the national final last month. Recent buzz from planned performance tweaks, OGAE fan poll endorsements like France's 12 points, and positive reactions to rehearsal clips have solidified their frontrunner status, evoking past Nordic televote surges. France's rising soprano Monroe follows at 13% with the soaring "Regarde!" unveiled March 6, while Denmark's emotive ballad "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.1%, buoyed by DMGP momentum. As remaining national selections wrap and Vienna rehearsals loom in May, late entrants could shift the dynamic.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 34.9%
Франция 13.1%
Дания 11.1%
Австралия 7.8%
$49,405,127 Объем
$49,405,127 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
2%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Болгария
1%

Швейцария
1%

Молдова
1%

Германия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Норвегия
1%

Албания
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Литва
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Черногория
<1%
Финляндия 34.9%
Франция 13.1%
Дания 11.1%
Австралия 7.8%
$49,405,127 Объем
$49,405,127 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
2%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Болгария
1%

Швейцария
1%

Молдова
1%

Германия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Норвегия
1%

Албания
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Литва
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Черногория
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a bold, fiery track blending violin virtuosity and high-energy staging that dominated both jury and public votes in the national final last month. Recent buzz from planned performance tweaks, OGAE fan poll endorsements like France's 12 points, and positive reactions to rehearsal clips have solidified their frontrunner status, evoking past Nordic televote surges. France's rising soprano Monroe follows at 13% with the soaring "Regarde!" unveiled March 6, while Denmark's emotive ballad "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.1%, buoyed by DMGP momentum. As remaining national selections wrap and Vienna rehearsals loom in May, late entrants could shift the dynamic.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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