Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 following their February 28 UMK victory with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," a Finnish-language rock banger that's dominated early streaming charts and predictive models like The Model, propelling them past initial rivals amid strong fan buzz. France's Monroe trails at 13% as a jury vote frontrunner with the sleek "Regarde," while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.7%) surges on recent odds momentum and broad appeal in "Før vi går hjem." Australia's jury strength and Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" keep the field wide open, as televote unpredictability, staging reveals, and OGAE polls ahead of the May Vienna contest could spark upsets in this skin-in-the-game market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 34.8%
Франция 13.0%
Дания 11.7%
Австралия 8.1%
$45,158,209 Объем
$45,158,209 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Сербия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Молдова
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%
Финляндия 34.8%
Франция 13.0%
Дания 11.7%
Австралия 8.1%
$45,158,209 Объем
$45,158,209 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Сербия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Молдова
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 34.8% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 following their February 28 UMK victory with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," a Finnish-language rock banger that's dominated early streaming charts and predictive models like The Model, propelling them past initial rivals amid strong fan buzz. France's Monroe trails at 13% as a jury vote frontrunner with the sleek "Regarde," while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.7%) surges on recent odds momentum and broad appeal in "Før vi går hjem." Australia's jury strength and Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" keep the field wide open, as televote unpredictability, staging reveals, and OGAE polls ahead of the May Vienna contest could spark upsets in this skin-in-the-game market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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