Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.3% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their "Liekinheitin" landslide victory at UMK on February 28—nearly tripling the runner-up score—and rapid gains in fan polls, Spotify streams, and predictive models like The Model. The classical violin-pop fusion evokes strong Nordic televote and jury potential, akin to recent regional frontrunners. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") holds 12.4% on polished national final buzz, edging Denmark's entry at 11.7% amid recent odds swaps, while Greece and Australia climb via streaming surges and public endorsements. With all 35 songs released ahead of May 12-16 semis and final at Wiener Stadthalle, live previews and OGAE polling loom as key catalysts in this volatile contest landscape.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 35.3%
Франция 12.4%
Дания 11.7%
Австралия 8.0%
$46,387,548 Объем
$46,387,548 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
12%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Болгария
1%

Молдова
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Сербия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Португалия
<1%
Финляндия 35.3%
Франция 12.4%
Дания 11.7%
Австралия 8.0%
$46,387,548 Объем
$46,387,548 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
12%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Болгария
1%

Молдова
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Сербия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Португалия
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.3% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their "Liekinheitin" landslide victory at UMK on February 28—nearly tripling the runner-up score—and rapid gains in fan polls, Spotify streams, and predictive models like The Model. The classical violin-pop fusion evokes strong Nordic televote and jury potential, akin to recent regional frontrunners. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") holds 12.4% on polished national final buzz, edging Denmark's entry at 11.7% amid recent odds swaps, while Greece and Australia climb via streaming surges and public endorsements. With all 35 songs released ahead of May 12-16 semis and final at Wiener Stadthalle, live previews and OGAE polling loom as key catalysts in this volatile contest landscape.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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