Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35% implied probability on Polymarket following their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the runner-up's points through strong jury and televote support, signaling broad appeal with violin-driven energy reminiscent of past Finnish televote surges like "Cha Cha Cha." France trails at 13% buoyed by Monroe's entry and OGAE momentum, while Denmark (10%) leverages polished pop craftsmanship; Australia (8%) and Greece (7%) draw diaspora voting power and staging hype. With national selections ongoing—Romania, Poland, and others revealing finalists—the wide-open field reflects trader caution amid Vienna's May 12-16 contest, where rehearsals and running orders could shift jury-televote dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 34.9%
Франция 13.1%
Дания 10.7%
Австралия 8.0%
$49,625,518 Объем
$49,625,518 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
2%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Молдова
1%

Швейцария
1%

Люксембург
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Норвегия
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Литва
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Черногория
<1%
Финляндия 34.9%
Франция 13.1%
Дания 10.7%
Австралия 8.0%
$49,625,518 Объем
$49,625,518 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
2%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Молдова
1%

Швейцария
1%

Люксембург
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Норвегия
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Литва
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Черногория
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35% implied probability on Polymarket following their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the runner-up's points through strong jury and televote support, signaling broad appeal with violin-driven energy reminiscent of past Finnish televote surges like "Cha Cha Cha." France trails at 13% buoyed by Monroe's entry and OGAE momentum, while Denmark (10%) leverages polished pop craftsmanship; Australia (8%) and Greece (7%) draw diaspora voting power and staging hype. With national selections ongoing—Romania, Poland, and others revealing finalists—the wide-open field reflects trader caution amid Vienna's May 12-16 contest, where rehearsals and running orders could shift jury-televote dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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