Finland leads Eurovision 2026 winner markets with a 35.1% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on the country's potent televote appeal from Käärijä's 2023 runner-up surge and anticipation for their high-energy UMK national selection, which consistently yields competitive entries. France (12.9%) and Denmark (11.9%) trail closely, bolstered by Big 5 auto-qualification advantages and historical jury strengths—France's slick pop production and Denmark's melodic track record in recent contests. Australia (8.3%) benefits from diaspora voting loyalty, while Greece leverages diaspora support. With 2026 over a year out and no entries announced, odds hinge on long-term national final momentum and 2025 contest precedents; watch for early UMK reveals and Nordic bloc dynamics to shift frontrunner status amid the contest's unpredictable jury-televote split.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 34.9%
Франция 13.3%
Дания 11.7%
Австралия 8.1%
$44,473,779 Объем
$44,473,779 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Сербия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Молдова
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%
Финляндия 34.9%
Франция 13.3%
Дания 11.7%
Австралия 8.1%
$44,473,779 Объем
$44,473,779 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Сербия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Молдова
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland leads Eurovision 2026 winner markets with a 35.1% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on the country's potent televote appeal from Käärijä's 2023 runner-up surge and anticipation for their high-energy UMK national selection, which consistently yields competitive entries. France (12.9%) and Denmark (11.9%) trail closely, bolstered by Big 5 auto-qualification advantages and historical jury strengths—France's slick pop production and Denmark's melodic track record in recent contests. Australia (8.3%) benefits from diaspora voting loyalty, while Greece leverages diaspora support. With 2026 over a year out and no entries announced, odds hinge on long-term national final momentum and 2025 contest precedents; watch for early UMK reveals and Nordic bloc dynamics to shift frontrunner status amid the contest's unpredictable jury-televote split.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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