Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland as the frontrunner at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 winner, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national selection on February 28 with strong jury scores and televote surge, blending catchy pop hooks, violin flair, and high-energy staging that echoes past Nordic successes like "Cha Cha Cha." France's Monroe with "Regarde" trails at 13%, buoyed by jury appeal and sleek production, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12% on melodic ballad vibes and home-region buzz. The wide-open field reflects early-stage uncertainty post-all songs' release, with Australia's Delta Goodrem and Greece gaining televote traction, ahead of Vienna semi-finals on May 12/14 and grand final May 16—watch streaming metrics and rehearsals for momentum shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 34.9%
Франция 13.0%
Дания 11.7%
Австралия 8.2%
$45,017,891 Объем
$45,017,891 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Сербия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Молдова
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%
Финляндия 34.9%
Франция 13.0%
Дания 11.7%
Австралия 8.2%
$45,017,891 Объем
$45,017,891 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Сербия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Молдова
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland as the frontrunner at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 winner, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national selection on February 28 with strong jury scores and televote surge, blending catchy pop hooks, violin flair, and high-energy staging that echoes past Nordic successes like "Cha Cha Cha." France's Monroe with "Regarde" trails at 13%, buoyed by jury appeal and sleek production, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12% on melodic ballad vibes and home-region buzz. The wide-open field reflects early-stage uncertainty post-all songs' release, with Australia's Delta Goodrem and Greece gaining televote traction, ahead of Vienna semi-finals on May 12/14 and grand final May 16—watch streaming metrics and rehearsals for momentum shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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