Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as early frontrunners after dominating Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) on February 28 with their high-energy duet "Liekinheitin" (Flamethrower), securing top jury scores and massive televote support that signals broad appeal in Vienna's May 12-16 contest. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum at 34.9% implied probability, differentiating it from France (12.7%) and Denmark (11.5%), whose recent national final winners—strong ballad entries—lack the same explosive staging buzz. Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) trail amid ongoing selections for others, but the wide-open field underscores uncertainty with semi-final draws, rehearsals, and geopolitical televote dynamics ahead, where upsets remain common in Eurovision's wisdom-of-crowds voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 34.9%
Франция 12.7%
Дания 11.5%
Австралия 7.8%
$49,239,237 Объем
$49,239,237 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Украина
3%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Болгария
1%

Молдова
1%

Германия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Бельгия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Хорватия
1%

Норвегия
1%

Албания
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Литва
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Черногория
<1%
Финляндия 34.9%
Франция 12.7%
Дания 11.5%
Австралия 7.8%
$49,239,237 Объем
$49,239,237 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Украина
3%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Болгария
1%

Молдова
1%

Германия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Бельгия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Хорватия
1%

Норвегия
1%

Албания
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Литва
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Черногория
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as early frontrunners after dominating Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu (UMK) on February 28 with their high-energy duet "Liekinheitin" (Flamethrower), securing top jury scores and massive televote support that signals broad appeal in Vienna's May 12-16 contest. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum at 34.9% implied probability, differentiating it from France (12.7%) and Denmark (11.5%), whose recent national final winners—strong ballad entries—lack the same explosive staging buzz. Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) trail amid ongoing selections for others, but the wide-open field underscores uncertainty with semi-final draws, rehearsals, and geopolitical televote dynamics ahead, where upsets remain common in Eurovision's wisdom-of-crowds voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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