Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.3% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their high-energy pop-rock entry "Liekinheitin," propelled by a record-shattering UMK 2026 win on February 28—securing 570 points, nearly triple the runner-up—alongside glowing reactions to its violin-infused hooks and broad appeal blending jury-friendly production with televote punch. France's Monroe follows at 12.7% after her "Regarde!" music video drop on March 6 and first live TV performance this week, fueling buzz for its sleek electro-pop vibe, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.7% on the momentum of "Før vi går hjem," a Danish-language ballad strong in DMGP previews. With all 37 entries unveiled, predictive models and betting shifts reflect Nordic firepower, but pre-parties, OGAE polls, and Vienna rehearsals from late April could spark upsets in this volatile contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 35.3%
Франция 12.6%
Дания 11.6%
Австралия 8.2%
$46,084,852 Объем
$46,084,852 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Сербия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Молдова
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Португалия
<1%
Финляндия 35.3%
Франция 12.6%
Дания 11.6%
Австралия 8.2%
$46,084,852 Объем
$46,084,852 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Сербия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Молдова
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Португалия
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.3% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their high-energy pop-rock entry "Liekinheitin," propelled by a record-shattering UMK 2026 win on February 28—securing 570 points, nearly triple the runner-up—alongside glowing reactions to its violin-infused hooks and broad appeal blending jury-friendly production with televote punch. France's Monroe follows at 12.7% after her "Regarde!" music video drop on March 6 and first live TV performance this week, fueling buzz for its sleek electro-pop vibe, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.7% on the momentum of "Før vi går hjem," a Danish-language ballad strong in DMGP previews. With all 37 entries unveiled, predictive models and betting shifts reflect Nordic firepower, but pre-parties, OGAE polls, and Vienna rehearsals from late April could spark upsets in this volatile contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы