Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 34.6% implied probability following their landslide UMK 2026 victory on February 28, dominating both jury and televote scoring—echoing rare broad-appeal entries like 2023's "Cha Cha Cha" that propelled Finland to second place. Traders see massive televote potential in the high-energy Finnish-language rock track, differentiating it amid a fragmented field. France's Monroe ("Look!") at 13.1% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.7%) lead jury vote odds with polished pop productions, while Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.2%) leverages perennial Down Under buzz. Greece and Israel trail with televote firepower, but unresolved national finals and Vienna rehearsals through May could shift dynamics in this wide-open contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 34.5%
Франция 13.1%
Дания 11.7%
Австралия 8.0%
$45,520,878 Объем
$45,520,878 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Сербия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Молдова
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Португалия
<1%
Финляндия 34.5%
Франция 13.1%
Дания 11.7%
Австралия 8.0%
$45,520,878 Объем
$45,520,878 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Сербия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Молдова
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Португалия
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 34.6% implied probability following their landslide UMK 2026 victory on February 28, dominating both jury and televote scoring—echoing rare broad-appeal entries like 2023's "Cha Cha Cha" that propelled Finland to second place. Traders see massive televote potential in the high-energy Finnish-language rock track, differentiating it amid a fragmented field. France's Monroe ("Look!") at 13.1% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.7%) lead jury vote odds with polished pop productions, while Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.2%) leverages perennial Down Under buzz. Greece and Israel trail with televote firepower, but unresolved national finals and Vienna rehearsals through May could shift dynamics in this wide-open contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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