Trader consensus positions Finland as the clear frontrunner at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory in Vienna, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which clinched Finland's UMK national selection on February 28 through dominant jury scores and explosive televote energy akin to 2023's "Cha Cha Cha." The duo's violin-driven power ballad has ignited fan polls, previews, and early rehearsals buzz, blending broad appeal for juries and public votes. France's Monroe ("Look!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund follow at 12.4% and 11.6%, favored for sophisticated jury-friendly entries amid ongoing national finals. With the May 12-16 contest approaching, upcoming previews and full lineups could shift these skin-in-the-game odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 35.0%
Франция 12.4%
Дания 11.6%
Австралия 8.0%
$47,740,978 Объем
$47,740,978 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
12%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
3%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Молдова
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%
Финляндия 35.0%
Франция 12.4%
Дания 11.6%
Австралия 8.0%
$47,740,978 Объем
$47,740,978 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
12%

Дания
12%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
3%

Италия
3%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Молдова
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Норвегия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Албания
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Литва
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Finland as the clear frontrunner at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory in Vienna, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which clinched Finland's UMK national selection on February 28 through dominant jury scores and explosive televote energy akin to 2023's "Cha Cha Cha." The duo's violin-driven power ballad has ignited fan polls, previews, and early rehearsals buzz, blending broad appeal for juries and public votes. France's Monroe ("Look!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund follow at 12.4% and 11.6%, favored for sophisticated jury-friendly entries amid ongoing national finals. With the May 12-16 contest approaching, upcoming previews and full lineups could shift these skin-in-the-game odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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