Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violin virtuoso Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has propelled the nation to a commanding 35% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, following their unanimous UMK national final victory on February 28 and explosive early fan polls where it tops Eurovisionworld rankings. The anthemic pop-rock track's blend of soaring vocals, strings, and high-energy staging appeals to both jury voters and televote blocs, differentiating it in a field of 35+ entries now fully revealed by early March. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 13% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard hold strong jury favoritism per betting models, while Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") lurks with Down Under televote power. With Vienna semis looming in six weeks, rehearsal buzz and semi-final draws remain key swing factors in this wide-open market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 34.9%
Франция 13.1%
Дания 11.1%
Австралия 7.8%
$49,444,983 Объем
$49,444,983 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
2%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Болгария
1%

Швейцария
1%

Молдова
1%

Германия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Норвегия
1%

Албания
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Литва
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Черногория
<1%
Финляндия 34.9%
Франция 13.1%
Дания 11.1%
Австралия 7.8%
$49,444,983 Объем
$49,444,983 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Италия
2%

Украина
2%

Румыния
2%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Болгария
1%

Швейцария
1%

Молдова
1%

Германия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Норвегия
1%

Албания
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Литва
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Черногория
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violin virtuoso Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has propelled the nation to a commanding 35% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, following their unanimous UMK national final victory on February 28 and explosive early fan polls where it tops Eurovisionworld rankings. The anthemic pop-rock track's blend of soaring vocals, strings, and high-energy staging appeals to both jury voters and televote blocs, differentiating it in a field of 35+ entries now fully revealed by early March. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 13% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard hold strong jury favoritism per betting models, while Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") lurks with Down Under televote power. With Vienna semis looming in six weeks, rehearsal buzz and semi-final draws remain key swing factors in this wide-open market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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