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Евровидение 2026: второй полуфинал

Market icon

Евровидение 2026: второй полуфинал

$84,624 Объем

14 мая 2026 г.
Polymarket

$84,624 Объем

Polymarket
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Дания

$324 Объем

95%

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Австралия

$11,153 Объем

91%

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Украина

$1,009 Объем

89%

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Болгария

$4,988 Объем

82%

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Норвегия

$3,387 Объем

81%

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Кипр

$7,010 Объем

79%

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Мальта

$467 Объем

77%

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Румыния

$5,147 Объем

72%

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Албания

$3,173 Объем

68%

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Чехия

$24,980 Объем

63%

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Латвия

$538 Объем

61%

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Швейцария

$6,214 Объем

39%

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Люксембург

$4,342 Объем

38%

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Армения

$10,131 Объем

34%

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Азербайджан

$1,761 Объем

6%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The recent reveal of the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final running order on April 2 has driven sharp trader consensus on Polymarket, with Denmark (95% implied probability), Australia (91%), and Ukraine (90%) emerging as lock-in qualifiers due to their advantageous late slots—12th, 13th, and 14th—historically boosting televote momentum in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. Strong entries like Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før Vi Går Hjem," Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse," and LELÉKA's "Ridnym" align with betting odds favoring Denmark (35% semi-win chance) amid jury-televote hybrid voting restored since 2022. Bulgaria (83%) benefits from opening spot energy, while underdogs like Azerbaijan and Czechia lag. Watch first rehearsals in late April and jury shows pre-May 14 for shifts, as top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$84,624
Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The recent reveal of the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final running order on April 2 has driven sharp trader consensus on Polymarket, with Denmark (95% implied probability), Australia (91%), and Ukraine (90%) emerging as lock-in qualifiers due to their advantageous late slots—12th, 13th, and 14th—historically boosting televote momentum in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. Strong entries like Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før Vi Går Hjem," Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse," and LELÉKA's "Ridnym" align with betting odds favoring Denmark (35% semi-win chance) amid jury-televote hybrid voting restored since 2022. Bulgaria (83%) benefits from opening spot energy, while underdogs like Azerbaijan and Czechia lag. Watch first rehearsals in late April and jury shows pre-May 14 for shifts, as top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$84,624
Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Евровидение 2026: второй полуфинал» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 15 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Дания» с 95%, за ним следует «Австралия» с 91%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 95¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 95%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Евровидение 2026: второй полуфинал» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $84.6K с момента запуска рынка Jan 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Евровидение 2026: второй полуфинал», просмотри 15 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Евровидение 2026: второй полуфинал» — «Дания» с 95%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 95%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Австралия» с 91%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Евровидение 2026: второй полуфинал» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.