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Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

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Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

19% chance
Polymarket
NEW
19% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Senate Republicans blocked Democratic-led war powers resolutions targeting U.S. military actions in Iran just days ago, marking the latest failure to advance such measures amid partisan gridlock. House Democratic leaders, including Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, opted to delay a floor vote until mid-April, citing concerns over potential defeat before the spring recess, despite pressure from progressive groups and lawmakers like Reps. Thomas Massie and Ro Khanna. With President Trump framing operations as non-war actions to sidestep authorization needs, traders see slim odds of bipartisan passage and presidential signature by April 30, reflecting historical patterns of congressional deference on executive military engagements. Upcoming House consideration offers a narrow window, but Senate filibuster risks and veto threats loom large.

Senate Republicans blocked Democratic-led war powers resolutions targeting U.S. military actions in Iran just days ago, marking the latest failure to advance such measures amid partisan gridlock. House Democratic leaders, including Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, opted to delay a floor vote until mid-April, citing concerns over potential defeat before the spring recess, despite pressure from progressive groups and lawmakers like Reps. Thomas Massie and Ro Khanna. With President Trump framing operations as non-war actions to sidestep authorization needs, traders see slim odds of bipartisan passage and presidential signature by April 30, reflecting historical patterns of congressional deference on executive military engagements. Upcoming House consideration offers a narrow window, but Senate filibuster risks and veto threats loom large.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Senate Republicans blocked Democratic-led war powers resolutions targeting U.S. military actions in Iran just days ago, marking the latest failure to advance such measures amid partisan gridlock. House Democratic leaders, including Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, opted to delay a floor vote until mid-April, citing concerns over potential defeat before the spring recess, despite pressure from progressive groups and lawmakers like Reps. Thomas Massie and Ro Khanna. With President Trump framing operations as non-war actions to sidestep authorization needs, traders see slim odds of bipartisan passage and presidential signature by April 30, reflecting historical patterns of congressional deference on executive military engagements. Upcoming House consideration offers a narrow window, but Senate filibuster risks and veto threats loom large.

Senate Republicans blocked Democratic-led war powers resolutions targeting U.S. military actions in Iran just days ago, marking the latest failure to advance such measures amid partisan gridlock. House Democratic leaders, including Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, opted to delay a floor vote until mid-April, citing concerns over potential defeat before the spring recess, despite pressure from progressive groups and lawmakers like Reps. Thomas Massie and Ro Khanna. With President Trump framing operations as non-war actions to sidestep authorization needs, traders see slim odds of bipartisan passage and presidential signature by April 30, reflecting historical patterns of congressional deference on executive military engagements. Upcoming House consideration offers a narrow window, but Senate filibuster risks and veto threats loom large.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Текущая вероятность для «Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?» составляет 19% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 19%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

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