Recent geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and related production shut-ins, have driven WTI crude futures to trade near $96–$99 per barrel in late May 2026, underpinning the 64% market-implied probability for a June settlement above $84. Trader consensus reflects persistent inventory draws and elevated risk premiums amid ongoing tensions, though recent signs of potential diplomatic progress have introduced volatility and tempered some upside bets. Lower-range outcomes remain thinly priced as forward curves show backwardation, with expectations that any resolution could moderate prices later in the quarter. Key near-term catalysts include further Middle East developments and global inventory reports that could shift the balance between supply constraints and demand signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНа что будет рассчитана цена на сырую нефть (CL) в июне?
На что будет рассчитана цена на сырую нефть (CL) в июне?
>$84 64%
$77-$84 19%
$70–$77 11.1%
$63-$70 3.1%
$199,057 Объем
$199,057 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
< $42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56–$63
1%
$63-$70
3%
$70–$77
11%
$77-$84
19%
>$84
64%
>$84 64%
$77-$84 19%
$70–$77 11.1%
$63-$70 3.1%
$199,057 Объем
$199,057 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
< $42
$20,391 Объем
<1%
$42-$49
$9,604 Объем
<1%
$49-$56
$11,401 Объем
1%
$56–$63
$12,002 Объем
1%
$63-$70
$26,783 Объем
3%
$70–$77
$16,189 Объем
11%
$77-$84
$16,841 Объем
19%
>$84
$85,847 Объем
64%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and related production shut-ins, have driven WTI crude futures to trade near $96–$99 per barrel in late May 2026, underpinning the 64% market-implied probability for a June settlement above $84. Trader consensus reflects persistent inventory draws and elevated risk premiums amid ongoing tensions, though recent signs of potential diplomatic progress have introduced volatility and tempered some upside bets. Lower-range outcomes remain thinly priced as forward curves show backwardation, with expectations that any resolution could moderate prices later in the quarter. Key near-term catalysts include further Middle East developments and global inventory reports that could shift the balance between supply constraints and demand signals.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Объем
$199,057Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and related production shut-ins, have driven WTI crude futures to trade near $96–$99 per barrel in late May 2026, underpinning the 64% market-implied probability for a June settlement above $84. Trader consensus reflects persistent inventory draws and elevated risk premiums amid ongoing tensions, though recent signs of potential diplomatic progress have introduced volatility and tempered some upside bets. Lower-range outcomes remain thinly priced as forward curves show backwardation, with expectations that any resolution could moderate prices later in the quarter. Key near-term catalysts include further Middle East developments and global inventory reports that could shift the balance between supply constraints and demand signals.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Объем
$199,057Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and related production shut-ins, have driven WTI crude futures to trade near $96–$99 per barrel in late May 2026, underpinning the 64% market-implied probability for a June settlement above $84. Trader consensus reflects persistent inventory draws and elevated risk premiums amid ongoing tensions, though recent signs of potential diplomatic progress have introduced volatility and tempered some upside bets. Lower-range outcomes remain thinly priced as forward curves show backwardation, with expectations that any resolution could moderate prices later in the quarter. Key near-term catalysts include further Middle East developments and global inventory reports that could shift the balance between supply constraints and demand signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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