Persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, continue to support elevated WTI crude prices near $107 per barrel as of late May 2026. These supply constraints have driven the market-implied 65% probability of June settlement above $84, reflecting trader consensus on sustained tightness through the settlement period. Recent diplomatic signals have introduced modest downside pressure, yet forward curves remain in steep backwardation amid limited near-term inventory relief. Key upcoming catalysts include potential timelines for Hormuz reopening and OPEC+ output decisions, which could determine whether prices hold above key thresholds or moderate into the $77–$84 range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНа что будет рассчитана цена на сырую нефть (CL) в июне?
На что будет рассчитана цена на сырую нефть (CL) в июне?
>$84 65%
$77-$84 21%
$70–$77 7.9%
$63-$70 3.4%
$197,847 Объем
$197,847 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
< $42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56–$63
1%
$63-$70
3%
$70–$77
8%
$77-$84
21%
>$84
65%
>$84 65%
$77-$84 21%
$70–$77 7.9%
$63-$70 3.4%
$197,847 Объем
$197,847 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
< $42
$20,386 Объем
<1%
$42-$49
$9,599 Объем
<1%
$49-$56
$11,396 Объем
1%
$56–$63
$11,997 Объем
1%
$63-$70
$26,652 Объем
3%
$70–$77
$15,620 Объем
8%
$77-$84
$16,816 Объем
21%
>$84
$85,478 Объем
65%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, continue to support elevated WTI crude prices near $107 per barrel as of late May 2026. These supply constraints have driven the market-implied 65% probability of June settlement above $84, reflecting trader consensus on sustained tightness through the settlement period. Recent diplomatic signals have introduced modest downside pressure, yet forward curves remain in steep backwardation amid limited near-term inventory relief. Key upcoming catalysts include potential timelines for Hormuz reopening and OPEC+ output decisions, which could determine whether prices hold above key thresholds or moderate into the $77–$84 range.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Объем
$197,847Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, continue to support elevated WTI crude prices near $107 per barrel as of late May 2026. These supply constraints have driven the market-implied 65% probability of June settlement above $84, reflecting trader consensus on sustained tightness through the settlement period. Recent diplomatic signals have introduced modest downside pressure, yet forward curves remain in steep backwardation amid limited near-term inventory relief. Key upcoming catalysts include potential timelines for Hormuz reopening and OPEC+ output decisions, which could determine whether prices hold above key thresholds or moderate into the $77–$84 range.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Объем
$197,847Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, continue to support elevated WTI crude prices near $107 per barrel as of late May 2026. These supply constraints have driven the market-implied 65% probability of June settlement above $84, reflecting trader consensus on sustained tightness through the settlement period. Recent diplomatic signals have introduced modest downside pressure, yet forward curves remain in steep backwardation amid limited near-term inventory relief. Key upcoming catalysts include potential timelines for Hormuz reopening and OPEC+ output decisions, which could determine whether prices hold above key thresholds or moderate into the $77–$84 range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы