OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced recurrent partial disruptions in March 2026, with over 20 incidents logged on status.openai.com involving elevated error rates in file uploads/downloads, logins, SSO access, and features like pinned chats and Realtime API—though none were classified as full outages upon resolution, per market criteria. Surging demand for GPT-5.4, released March 5 with reliability gains like 19.7% better internal knowledge accuracy, continues straining infrastructure amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude. Trader consensus reflects historical February blackouts alongside high 99.91% uptime, with minor voice note reports today (April 2) not yet qualifying. Watch for escalated classifications or peak usage spikes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоОтключение ChatGPT на...?
Отключение ChatGPT на...?
$81,644 Объем
10 апр. 2026 г.
20 марта
Нет
27 марта
Нет
3 апреля
Да
10 апреля
Да
17 апреля
Да
$81,644 Объем
20 марта
$0 Объем
Нет
27 марта
$13,020 Объем
Нет
3 апреля
$41,780 Объем
Да
10 апреля
$16,579 Объем
Да
17 апреля
$10,264 Объем
Да
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced recurrent partial disruptions in March 2026, with over 20 incidents logged on status.openai.com involving elevated error rates in file uploads/downloads, logins, SSO access, and features like pinned chats and Realtime API—though none were classified as full outages upon resolution, per market criteria. Surging demand for GPT-5.4, released March 5 with reliability gains like 19.7% better internal knowledge accuracy, continues straining infrastructure amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude. Trader consensus reflects historical February blackouts alongside high 99.91% uptime, with minor voice note reports today (April 2) not yet qualifying. Watch for escalated classifications or peak usage spikes before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 4:47 PM ET
Объем
$81,644Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 4:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced recurrent partial disruptions in March 2026, with over 20 incidents logged on status.openai.com involving elevated error rates in file uploads/downloads, logins, SSO access, and features like pinned chats and Realtime API—though none were classified as full outages upon resolution, per market criteria. Surging demand for GPT-5.4, released March 5 with reliability gains like 19.7% better internal knowledge accuracy, continues straining infrastructure amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude. Trader consensus reflects historical February blackouts alongside high 99.91% uptime, with minor voice note reports today (April 2) not yet qualifying. Watch for escalated classifications or peak usage spikes before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$81,644Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 4:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
OpenAI's ChatGPT has faced recurrent partial disruptions in March 2026, with over 20 incidents logged on status.openai.com involving elevated error rates in file uploads/downloads, logins, SSO access, and features like pinned chats and Realtime API—though none were classified as full outages upon resolution, per market criteria. Surging demand for GPT-5.4, released March 5 with reliability gains like 19.7% better internal knowledge accuracy, continues straining infrastructure amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude. Trader consensus reflects historical February blackouts alongside high 99.91% uptime, with minor voice note reports today (April 2) not yet qualifying. Watch for escalated classifications or peak usage spikes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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