Amazon (AMZN) share price closed at $198.42 on March 27, down 3% amid macro uncertainty and trader skepticism over the company's projected $200 billion 2026 AI capital expenditures, which have fueled concerns about margin compression and returns on AWS investments. Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—<$185 (21.5%), $195-$200 (21.5%), and $200-$205 (21%)—capture this tight clustering around current levels, with tail risks from tech sector weakness and regulatory scrutiny on e-commerce dominance differentiating downside scenarios. Absent major catalysts this week, trader consensus hinges on broader market sentiment and upcoming Q1 earnings around April 30, where AWS backlog conversion and advertising profitability will clarify competitive positioning versus peers like Microsoft and Alphabet.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$200-$205 22%
$195–$200 22%
< $185 21%
$205–$210 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
< $185
21%
$185–$190
11%
$190-$195
17%
$195–$200
22%
$200-$205
22%
$205–$210
18%
$210–$215
9%
$215-$220
8%
$220–$225
11%
$225–$230
7%
>$230
7%
$200-$205 22%
$195–$200 22%
< $185 21%
$205–$210 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
< $185
$0 Объем
21%
$185–$190
$192 Объем
11%
$190-$195
$0 Объем
17%
$195–$200
$0 Объем
22%
$200-$205
$0 Объем
22%
$205–$210
$0 Объем
18%
$210–$215
$0 Объем
9%
$215-$220
$0 Объем
8%
$220–$225
$0 Объем
11%
$225–$230
$6 Объем
7%
>$230
$0 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Amazon (AMZN) share price closed at $198.42 on March 27, down 3% amid macro uncertainty and trader skepticism over the company's projected $200 billion 2026 AI capital expenditures, which have fueled concerns about margin compression and returns on AWS investments. Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—<$185 (21.5%), $195-$200 (21.5%), and $200-$205 (21%)—capture this tight clustering around current levels, with tail risks from tech sector weakness and regulatory scrutiny on e-commerce dominance differentiating downside scenarios. Absent major catalysts this week, trader consensus hinges on broader market sentiment and upcoming Q1 earnings around April 30, where AWS backlog conversion and advertising profitability will clarify competitive positioning versus peers like Microsoft and Alphabet.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Объем
$198Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Amazon (AMZN) share price closed at $198.42 on March 27, down 3% amid macro uncertainty and trader skepticism over the company's projected $200 billion 2026 AI capital expenditures, which have fueled concerns about margin compression and returns on AWS investments. Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—<$185 (21.5%), $195-$200 (21.5%), and $200-$205 (21%)—capture this tight clustering around current levels, with tail risks from tech sector weakness and regulatory scrutiny on e-commerce dominance differentiating downside scenarios. Absent major catalysts this week, trader consensus hinges on broader market sentiment and upcoming Q1 earnings around April 30, where AWS backlog conversion and advertising profitability will clarify competitive positioning versus peers like Microsoft and Alphabet.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Объем
$198Дата окончания
Apr 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amazon (AMZN) share price closed at $198.42 on March 27, down 3% amid macro uncertainty and trader skepticism over the company's projected $200 billion 2026 AI capital expenditures, which have fueled concerns about margin compression and returns on AWS investments. Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—<$185 (21.5%), $195-$200 (21.5%), and $200-$205 (21%)—capture this tight clustering around current levels, with tail risks from tech sector weakness and regulatory scrutiny on e-commerce dominance differentiating downside scenarios. Absent major catalysts this week, trader consensus hinges on broader market sentiment and upcoming Q1 earnings around April 30, where AWS backlog conversion and advertising profitability will clarify competitive positioning versus peers like Microsoft and Alphabet.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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