Spain leads trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, bolstered by their Euro 2024 triumph, Nations League success, and a peaking golden generation including Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Unai Simón anchoring a deep, versatile squad. Recent March 2026 friendlies and ESPN power rankings—placing them atop ahead of France and Argentina—have solidified this edge amid final preparations like base camp selections. The race remains tight with England (12.8%), France (11.1%), and Argentina (9.8%) close behind, thanks to elite talents like Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappé, and Lionel Messi, in an expanded 48-team field where drawn groups foster competitive paths and knockout upsets loom large for all contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИспания 15.8%
Англия 12.8%
Франция 11.1%
Аргентина 9.8%
$416,102,846 Объем
$416,102,846 Объем
Jul 20, 2026
Заработай 4 %
Испания
16%
Англия
13%
Франция
11%
Аргентина
10%
Бразилия
9%
Португалия
7%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
3%
Норвегия
3%
Италия
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
США
2%
Марокко
2%
Япония
1%
Уругвай
1%
Мексика
1%
Хорватия
1%
Швейцария
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Канада
1%
Австрия
1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Египет
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Иран
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Испания 15.8%
Англия 12.8%
Франция 11.1%
Аргентина 9.8%
$416,102,846 Объем
$416,102,846 Объем
Jul 20, 2026
Заработай 4 %
Испания
$5,554,194 Объем
16%
Англия
$6,534,458 Объем
13%
Франция
$4,174,992 Объем
11%
Аргентина
$6,697,866 Объем
10%
Бразилия
$6,380,156 Объем
9%
Португалия
$8,016,866 Объем
7%
Германия
$6,703,722 Объем
5%
Нидерланды
$8,954,511 Объем
3%
Норвегия
$7,410,237 Объем
3%
Италия
$7,624,451 Объем
2%
Бельгия
$7,424,058 Объем
2%
Колумбия
$7,019,744 Объем
2%
США
$4,644,529 Объем
2%
Марокко
$8,755,960 Объем
2%
Япония
$8,557,713 Объем
1%
Уругвай
$7,347,229 Объем
1%
Мексика
$6,656,813 Объем
1%
Хорватия
$7,824,119 Объем
1%
Швейцария
$8,115,537 Объем
1%
Эквадор
$8,727,533 Объем
1%
Сенегал
$8,076,659 Объем
1%
Канада
$11,365,820 Объем
1%
Австрия
$9,695,739 Объем
1%
Южная Корея
$13,088,507 Объем
<1%
Парагвай
$11,321,911 Объем
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
$8,617,595 Объем
<1%
Алжир
$10,167,584 Объем
<1%
Шотландия
$10,787,737 Объем
<1%
Тунис
$10,758,187 Объем
<1%
Австралия
$8,028,542 Объем
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
$17,208,684 Объем
<1%
Египет
$10,035,000 Объем
<1%
Гаити
$12,119,448 Объем
<1%
Иордания
$16,135,954 Объем
<1%
Кюрасао
$13,656,516 Объем
<1%
Иран
$11,177,628 Объем
<1%
Ghana
$7,999,353 Объем
<1%
Южная Африка
$19,084,814 Объем
<1%
Кабо-Верде
$10,124,058 Объем
<1%
Катар
$11,162,596 Объем
<1%
Новая Зеландия
$15,639,407 Объем
<1%
Узбекистан
$26,481,176 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, bolstered by their Euro 2024 triumph, Nations League success, and a peaking golden generation including Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Unai Simón anchoring a deep, versatile squad. Recent March 2026 friendlies and ESPN power rankings—placing them atop ahead of France and Argentina—have solidified this edge amid final preparations like base camp selections. The race remains tight with England (12.8%), France (11.1%), and Argentina (9.8%) close behind, thanks to elite talents like Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappé, and Lionel Messi, in an expanded 48-team field where drawn groups foster competitive paths and knockout upsets loom large for all contenders.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Объем
$416,102,846Дата окончания
Jul 20, 2026Открытие рынка
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, bolstered by their Euro 2024 triumph, Nations League success, and a peaking golden generation including Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Unai Simón anchoring a deep, versatile squad. Recent March 2026 friendlies and ESPN power rankings—placing them atop ahead of France and Argentina—have solidified this edge amid final preparations like base camp selections. The race remains tight with England (12.8%), France (11.1%), and Argentina (9.8%) close behind, thanks to elite talents like Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappé, and Lionel Messi, in an expanded 48-team field where drawn groups foster competitive paths and knockout upsets loom large for all contenders.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$416,102,846Дата окончания
Jul 20, 2026Открытие рынка
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain leads trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, bolstered by their Euro 2024 triumph, Nations League success, and a peaking golden generation including Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Unai Simón anchoring a deep, versatile squad. Recent March 2026 friendlies and ESPN power rankings—placing them atop ahead of France and Argentina—have solidified this edge amid final preparations like base camp selections. The race remains tight with England (12.8%), France (11.1%), and Argentina (9.8%) close behind, thanks to elite talents like Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappé, and Lionel Messi, in an expanded 48-team field where drawn groups foster competitive paths and knockout upsets loom large for all contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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