Spain commands a narrow trader consensus edge at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, propelled by their Euro 2024 conquest, flawless recent form in European qualifiers, and top billing in power rankings 100 days from kickoff. France's 11% trails closely after Kylian Mbappé overcame knee concerns to spark a 2-1 friendly triumph over Brazil last week, while England's 13% reflects squad depth despite inconsistent tune-ups. Argentina clings to contention via Lionel Messi's influence and recent victories, but Brazil slips to 9% amid injuries sidelining Raphinha (hamstring) and Rodrygo (ACL tear). The tight top cluster underscores a parity-laden field, with elite talent across Europe and South America, navigable group stage draws, and knockout volatility keeping the race wide open.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИспания 15.8%
Англия 12.8%
Франция 11.1%
Аргентина 9.8%
$425,874,698 Объем
$425,874,698 Объем
Испания
16%
Англия
13%
Франция
11%
Аргентина
10%
Бразилия
9%
Португалия
7%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
3%
Норвегия
3%
Италия
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
США
2%
Марокко
2%
Япония
1%
Уругвай
1%
Мексика
1%
Хорватия
1%
Швейцария
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Канада
1%
Австрия
1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Египет
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Иран
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Испания 15.8%
Англия 12.8%
Франция 11.1%
Аргентина 9.8%
$425,874,698 Объем
$425,874,698 Объем
Испания
16%
Англия
13%
Франция
11%
Аргентина
10%
Бразилия
9%
Португалия
7%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
3%
Норвегия
3%
Италия
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
США
2%
Марокко
2%
Япония
1%
Уругвай
1%
Мексика
1%
Хорватия
1%
Швейцария
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Канада
1%
Австрия
1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Египет
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Иран
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain commands a narrow trader consensus edge at 16% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title, propelled by their Euro 2024 conquest, flawless recent form in European qualifiers, and top billing in power rankings 100 days from kickoff. France's 11% trails closely after Kylian Mbappé overcame knee concerns to spark a 2-1 friendly triumph over Brazil last week, while England's 13% reflects squad depth despite inconsistent tune-ups. Argentina clings to contention via Lionel Messi's influence and recent victories, but Brazil slips to 9% amid injuries sidelining Raphinha (hamstring) and Rodrygo (ACL tear). The tight top cluster underscores a parity-laden field, with elite talent across Europe and South America, navigable group stage draws, and knockout volatility keeping the race wide open.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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