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2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Feb 10

Mar 10

4th or lower 64%

3rd hottest 31%

2nd hottest 4.0%

1st hottest 1.7%

$15,218 Объем

Правила

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.

Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Объем
$15,218
Дата окончания
Mar 10, 2026
Создано
Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record. Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

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Market icon

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Feb 10

Mar 10

4th or lower 64%

3rd hottest 31%

2nd hottest 4.0%

1st hottest 1.7%

$15,218 Объем

1st hottest

$630 Объем

2%

2nd hottest

$357 Объем

4%

3rd hottest

$6,617 Объем

31%

4th or lower

$7,614 Объем

64%

О событии

Объем
$15,218
Дата окончания
Mar 10, 2026
Создано
Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.