Mercedes' George Russell holds a slim 43.5% implied probability edge as traders' consensus pick for the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship, buoyed by his experience and early-season win in Australia plus the Shanghai Sprint, despite trailing teammate Kimi Antonelli by nine points at 72-63 after three rounds. Antonelli's surge to 31.4% stems from his back-to-back Grand Prix victories in China and Japan—capitalizing on a timely safety car at Suzuka—making him the first teenager to lead the standings amid Mercedes' 45-point constructors' lead in the new regulation era. Recent team principal Toto Wolff comments affirm no orders yet, fueling an intra-team title fight, while rivals like Verstappen and Norris lag in weaker machinery, keeping their odds under 3%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДжордж Расселл 44%
Кими Антонелли 31.4%
Шарль Леклер 6.5%
Оскар Пьястри 4.7%
$82,601,605 Объем
$82,601,605 Объем
Джордж Расселл
44%
Кими Антонелли
31%
Шарль Леклер
6%
Оскар Пьястри
5%
Льюис Хэмилтон
4%
Ландо Норрис
2%
Макс Ферстаппен
2%
Исаак Хаджар
1%
Фернандо Алонсо
<1%
Эстебан Окон
<1%
Нико Хюлькенберг
<1%
Карлос Сайнс-младший
<1%
Серхио Перес
<1%
Ланс Стролл
<1%
Габриэль Бортолето
<1%
Александр Альбон
<1%
Пьер Гасли
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Арвид Линдблад
<1%
Оливер Бэрман
<1%
Франко Колапинто
<1%
Валттери Боттас
<1%
Джордж Расселл 44%
Кими Антонелли 31.4%
Шарль Леклер 6.5%
Оскар Пьястри 4.7%
$82,601,605 Объем
$82,601,605 Объем
Джордж Расселл
44%
Кими Антонелли
31%
Шарль Леклер
6%
Оскар Пьястри
5%
Льюис Хэмилтон
4%
Ландо Норрис
2%
Макс Ферстаппен
2%
Исаак Хаджар
1%
Фернандо Алонсо
<1%
Эстебан Окон
<1%
Нико Хюлькенберг
<1%
Карлос Сайнс-младший
<1%
Серхио Перес
<1%
Ланс Стролл
<1%
Габриэль Бортолето
<1%
Александр Альбон
<1%
Пьер Гасли
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Арвид Линдблад
<1%
Оливер Бэрман
<1%
Франко Колапинто
<1%
Валттери Боттас
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Открытие рынка: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' George Russell holds a slim 43.5% implied probability edge as traders' consensus pick for the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship, buoyed by his experience and early-season win in Australia plus the Shanghai Sprint, despite trailing teammate Kimi Antonelli by nine points at 72-63 after three rounds. Antonelli's surge to 31.4% stems from his back-to-back Grand Prix victories in China and Japan—capitalizing on a timely safety car at Suzuka—making him the first teenager to lead the standings amid Mercedes' 45-point constructors' lead in the new regulation era. Recent team principal Toto Wolff comments affirm no orders yet, fueling an intra-team title fight, while rivals like Verstappen and Norris lag in weaker machinery, keeping their odds under 3%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы