2025 May hottest on record?
$229,293 Объем
$229,293 Объем
May 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior May when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
At the point the data for May 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for May, and if 2025 May is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Note: If 2025 May is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2025 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior May when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
At the point the data for May 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for May, and if 2025 May is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Note: If 2025 May is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2025 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
At the point the data for May 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for May, and if 2025 May is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Note: If 2025 May is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2025 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Дата создания: Apr 30, 2025, 4:13 PM ET
Объем
$229,293Дата окончания
May 31, 2025Дата создания
Apr 30, 2025, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
2025 May hottest on record?
$229,293 Объем
$229,293 Объем
May 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior May when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
At the point the data for May 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for May, and if 2025 May is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Note: If 2025 May is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2025 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior May when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
At the point the data for May 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for May, and if 2025 May is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Note: If 2025 May is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2025 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
At the point the data for May 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for May, and if 2025 May is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Note: If 2025 May is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for May 2025 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Объем
$229,293Дата окончания
May 31, 2025Дата создания
Apr 30, 2025, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
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Frequently Asked Questions
"2025 May hottest on record?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "2025 May hottest on record?" has generated $229.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "2025 May hottest on record?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "2025 May hottest on record?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "2025 May hottest on record?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions