Arsenal leads trader consensus at 34.5% implied probability for the 2025-26 FA Cup, fueled by their strong early 2024-25 Premier League form—second place with an unbeaten run in recent matches, including a key 1-0 win over Manchester City—and Mikel Arteta's track record in domestic cups, bolstered by squad depth from summer signings like Riccardo Calafiori. Manchester City at 25.5% reflects defending Premier League champions' pedigree despite a minor early-season dip, with Pep Guardiola's rotation mastery aiding cup runs. Chelsea's 17.5% stems from heavy transfer investment (e.g., Pedro Neto) sparking a resurgence, while Liverpool's 13.0% acknowledges Arne Slot's impressive start atop the table. Lower-tier sides like Championship leaders Leeds (5.8%) and promoted Southampton (3.0%) draw support from promotion momentum and giant-killing potential in early knockout rounds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоАрсенал 35%
Манчестер Сити 26%
Челси 18%
Ливерпуль 13%
$49,002 Объем
$49,002 Объем
Арсенал
35%
Манчестер Сити
26%
Челси
18%
Ливерпуль
13%
Вест Хэм Юнайтед
6%
Лидс Юнайтед АФК
6%
Саутгемптон
3%
Порт Вейл
1%
Арсенал 35%
Манчестер Сити 26%
Челси 18%
Ливерпуль 13%
$49,002 Объем
$49,002 Объем
Арсенал
35%
Манчестер Сити
26%
Челси
18%
Ливерпуль
13%
Вест Хэм Юнайтед
6%
Лидс Юнайтед АФК
6%
Саутгемптон
3%
Порт Вейл
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal leads trader consensus at 34.5% implied probability for the 2025-26 FA Cup, fueled by their strong early 2024-25 Premier League form—second place with an unbeaten run in recent matches, including a key 1-0 win over Manchester City—and Mikel Arteta's track record in domestic cups, bolstered by squad depth from summer signings like Riccardo Calafiori. Manchester City at 25.5% reflects defending Premier League champions' pedigree despite a minor early-season dip, with Pep Guardiola's rotation mastery aiding cup runs. Chelsea's 17.5% stems from heavy transfer investment (e.g., Pedro Neto) sparking a resurgence, while Liverpool's 13.0% acknowledges Arne Slot's impressive start atop the table. Lower-tier sides like Championship leaders Leeds (5.8%) and promoted Southampton (3.0%) draw support from promotion momentum and giant-killing potential in early knockout rounds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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