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Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Yes 60.7¢
30.0 quotas$29.99$11.79 (64.75%)
76¢
98.1¢
$19.61$4.41 (29.01%)
$19.61$4.41 (29.01%)
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
No 96¢
10.0 quotas96¢
100¢
$10.00$0.40 (4.17%)
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
No 96¢
10.0 quotas$10.00$0.40 (4.17%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
No 88.7¢
10.0 quotas88.7¢
96.5¢
$9.65$0.78 (8.79%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
No 88.7¢
10.0 quotas$9.65$0.78 (8.79%)
71¢
95.1¢
$9.51$2.41 (33.94%)
$9.51$2.41 (33.94%)




