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Kentucky Derby previsões e probabilidades

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2026 Kentucky Derby: Winner

-

$37 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends há 29 dias

Centurion 2: Luc Koenig vs Semen Pankin

Centurion 2: Luc Koenig vs Semen Pankin

73%

Semen Pankin

$215 Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Gallrein 9%+

$190K Vol.

$42.5K Liq.

6

Ends há 13 dias

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

9%

June 30

$164K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

10

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

38%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$752 Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Birmingham (Doubles): Riedi/Schoolkate vs Escobar/Kittay

Birmingham (Doubles): Riedi/Schoolkate vs Escobar/Kittay

54%

Riedi/Schoolkate

$10 Vol.

$72 Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

85%

↑ 80

$1M Vol.

$59.7K today

$210K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt

Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt

61%

Mattia Bellucci

$1.3K Vol.

$65.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Fery

Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Fery

61%

Arthur Fery

$7.7K Vol.

$50.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

30%

↑ $3

$664K Vol.

$56.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What price will Dogecoin hit in May?

What price will Dogecoin hit in May?

<1%

↑ 0.20

$728K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends há cerca de 6 horas

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

<1%

↑ 115,000

$42M Vol.

$1M today

$7M Liq.

2

Ends há cerca de 6 horas

Centurion 2 (Doubles): Beckley/Donski vs Kouzmine/Strombachs

Centurion 2 (Doubles): Beckley/Donski vs Kouzmine/Strombachs

50%

Kouzmine/Strombachs

$0 Vol.

$48 Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

60%

↓ 0.40

$67.1K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout

KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout

100%

100-110k

$47.6K Vol.

$51.8K Liq.

1

Ends há 13 dias

Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Calvin Hemery

Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Calvin Hemery

64%

Calvin Hemery

$70 Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

UTEP Miners vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (W)

UTEP Miners vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (W)

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

$30 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 5 meses

Prostejov: Lautaro Midon vs Zdenek Kolar

Prostejov: Lautaro Midon vs Zdenek Kolar

61%

Zdenek Kolar

$3.4K Vol.

$73.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

70%

↓ 0.0010

$107K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Centurion 2: Filip Peliwo vs Eliakim Coulibaly

Centurion 2: Filip Peliwo vs Eliakim Coulibaly

87%

Eliakim Coulibaly

$60 Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Kentucky Derby.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Kentucky Derby that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Kentucky Derby: Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $45.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Prostejov: Lautaro Midon vs Zdenek Kolar”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↓ 75,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Kentucky Derby predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.