Kylian Mbappé leads with a 29% implied probability for the most goal contributions at the World Cup, driven by his central role in France’s attack and history of high-output tournaments. Harry Kane sits close behind at 23.5%, backed by England’s forward options and his proven scoring record in major competitions. The market stays tightly bunched, with players such as Musa Al-Taamari, Ermedin Demirović, Erling Haaland, and Lamine Yamal clustered between roughly 14% and 20%, because goal contributions depend heavily on which teams advance deep, individual minutes in open play, and variable finishing rates across the group and knockout stages. This spread reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in multiple plausible standout performers rather than any single dominant favorite.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCopa do Mundo: Maioria das Contribuições de Gols
Harry Kane 38%
Kylian Mbappé 24%
Lamine Yamal 13%
Erling Haaland 12%
Harry Kane
38%
Kylian Mbappé
24%
Lamine Yamal
13%
Erling Haaland
12%
Chris Wood
8%
Scott McTominay
8%
Riyad Mahrez
6%
Martin Boyle
6%
Sadio Mané
6%
Sébastien Haller
5%
Leandro Bacuna
5%
Salem Al-Dawsari
5%
Arda Güler
5%
Christoph Baumgartner
5%
Raphinha
5%
Eldor Shomurodov
5%
Cédric Bakambu
5%
Viktor Gyökeres
5%
Mehdi Taremi
5%
Lautaro Martínez
5%
Frantzdy Pierrot
5%
Christian Pulisic
5%
Lyle Foster
5%
Enner Valencia
5%
Hannibal Mejbri
5%
Ermedin Demirović
4%
Son Heung-min
4%
Akram Afif
4%
Ondřej Duda
4%
Rafael Leão
4%
Mohamed Salah
3%
Julio Tavares
3%
Kaoru Mitoma
3%
Luis Díaz
6%
Julio Enciso
2%
Youssef En-Nesyri
1%
Jamal Musiala
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Cody Gakpo
1%
Romelu Lukaku
1%
Mohammed Kudus
<1%
Granit Xhaka
<1%
Santiago Giménez
7%
Aymen Hussein
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
6%
Musa Al-Taamari
7%
Ismael Díaz
7%
Jonathan David
7%
Harry Kane 38%
Kylian Mbappé 24%
Lamine Yamal 13%
Erling Haaland 12%
Harry Kane
38%
Kylian Mbappé
24%
Lamine Yamal
13%
Erling Haaland
12%
Chris Wood
8%
Scott McTominay
8%
Riyad Mahrez
6%
Martin Boyle
6%
Sadio Mané
6%
Sébastien Haller
5%
Leandro Bacuna
5%
Salem Al-Dawsari
5%
Arda Güler
5%
Christoph Baumgartner
5%
Raphinha
5%
Eldor Shomurodov
5%
Cédric Bakambu
5%
Viktor Gyökeres
5%
Mehdi Taremi
5%
Lautaro Martínez
5%
Frantzdy Pierrot
5%
Christian Pulisic
5%
Lyle Foster
5%
Enner Valencia
5%
Hannibal Mejbri
5%
Ermedin Demirović
4%
Son Heung-min
4%
Akram Afif
4%
Ondřej Duda
4%
Rafael Leão
4%
Mohamed Salah
3%
Julio Tavares
3%
Kaoru Mitoma
3%
Luis Díaz
6%
Julio Enciso
2%
Youssef En-Nesyri
1%
Jamal Musiala
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Cody Gakpo
1%
Romelu Lukaku
1%
Mohammed Kudus
<1%
Granit Xhaka
<1%
Santiago Giménez
7%
Aymen Hussein
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
6%
Musa Al-Taamari
7%
Ismael Díaz
7%
Jonathan David
7%
For the purpose of this market, a goal contribution is defined exclusively as the number of combined goals and assists a player has recorded.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored more goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 29, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a goal contribution is defined exclusively as the number of combined goals and assists a player has recorded.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored more goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kylian Mbappé leads with a 29% implied probability for the most goal contributions at the World Cup, driven by his central role in France’s attack and history of high-output tournaments. Harry Kane sits close behind at 23.5%, backed by England’s forward options and his proven scoring record in major competitions. The market stays tightly bunched, with players such as Musa Al-Taamari, Ermedin Demirović, Erling Haaland, and Lamine Yamal clustered between roughly 14% and 20%, because goal contributions depend heavily on which teams advance deep, individual minutes in open play, and variable finishing rates across the group and knockout stages. This spread reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in multiple plausible standout performers rather than any single dominant favorite.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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