France's elite squad depth, multiple World Cup titles, and top FIFA ranking drive trader consensus toward an implied 68.5% probability of topping Group I, ahead of the June 16 opener against Senegal at MetLife Stadium. Norway sits second at 21.5% on the back of Erling Haaland's strong qualifying output and a balanced attack featuring Martin Odegaard, while Senegal at 10.5% draws support from its 2022 quarterfinal run and recent CAF form. Iraq trails at 1.1% as the lowest-ranked side with limited recent international success. Squad announcements and head-to-head history reinforce these probabilities, though any late injuries or unexpected results in the round-robin could shift sentiment before the June 26 finale.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFrança 69%
Noruega 22%
Senegal 11%
Iraque 1.1%
$191,107 Vol.
$191,107 Vol.
27 jun 2026
França
69%
Noruega
22%
Senegal
11%
Iraque
1%
França 69%
Noruega 22%
Senegal 11%
Iraque 1.1%
$191,107 Vol.
$191,107 Vol.
27 jun 2026
França
$85,387 Vol.
69%
Noruega
$25,965 Vol.
22%
Senegal
$25,442 Vol.
11%
Iraque
$54,313 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's elite squad depth, multiple World Cup titles, and top FIFA ranking drive trader consensus toward an implied 68.5% probability of topping Group I, ahead of the June 16 opener against Senegal at MetLife Stadium. Norway sits second at 21.5% on the back of Erling Haaland's strong qualifying output and a balanced attack featuring Martin Odegaard, while Senegal at 10.5% draws support from its 2022 quarterfinal run and recent CAF form. Iraq trails at 1.1% as the lowest-ranked side with limited recent international success. Squad announcements and head-to-head history reinforce these probabilities, though any late injuries or unexpected results in the round-robin could shift sentiment before the June 26 finale.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$191,107Data de Término
27 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's elite squad depth, multiple World Cup titles, and top FIFA ranking drive trader consensus toward an implied 68.5% probability of topping Group I, ahead of the June 16 opener against Senegal at MetLife Stadium. Norway sits second at 21.5% on the back of Erling Haaland's strong qualifying output and a balanced attack featuring Martin Odegaard, while Senegal at 10.5% draws support from its 2022 quarterfinal run and recent CAF form. Iraq trails at 1.1% as the lowest-ranked side with limited recent international success. Squad announcements and head-to-head history reinforce these probabilities, though any late injuries or unexpected results in the round-robin could shift sentiment before the June 26 finale.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$191,107Data de Término
27 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's elite squad depth, multiple World Cup titles, and top FIFA ranking drive trader consensus toward an implied 68.5% probability of topping Group I, ahead of the June 16 opener against Senegal at MetLife Stadium. Norway sits second at 21.5% on the back of Erling Haaland's strong qualifying output and a balanced attack featuring Martin Odegaard, while Senegal at 10.5% draws support from its 2022 quarterfinal run and recent CAF form. Iraq trails at 1.1% as the lowest-ranked side with limited recent international success. Squad announcements and head-to-head history reinforce these probabilities, though any late injuries or unexpected results in the round-robin could shift sentiment before the June 26 finale.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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