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LeBron James vai se aposentar antes da próxima temporada da NBA?

Market icon

LeBron James vai se aposentar antes da próxima temporada da NBA?

Sim

19% acaso
Polymarket

$23,708 Vol.

Sim

19% acaso
Polymarket

$23,708 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.LeBron James' sustained productivity at age 41—averaging 20.7 points, 7.0 assists, and 6.0 rebounds on 51.2% shooting through 56 games in the 2025-26 season—anchors the 81.5% implied probability he won't retire before the 2026-27 campaign, per trader consensus. Despite ongoing left foot injury management listing him as questionable for recent matchups like versus the Cavaliers, he's remained available amid the Lakers' late-season push. League insiders, including Shams Charania in March, report a widespread belief he'll return for a 24th season as an unrestricted free agent this summer, with Lakers finish and potential re-signing incentives pivotal; no retirement announcement has emerged in the past 30 days to shift sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,708
Data de Término
21 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 1:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.LeBron James' sustained productivity at age 41—averaging 20.7 points, 7.0 assists, and 6.0 rebounds on 51.2% shooting through 56 games in the 2025-26 season—anchors the 81.5% implied probability he won't retire before the 2026-27 campaign, per trader consensus. Despite ongoing left foot injury management listing him as questionable for recent matchups like versus the Cavaliers, he's remained available amid the Lakers' late-season push. League insiders, including Shams Charania in March, report a widespread belief he'll return for a 24th season as an unrestricted free agent this summer, with Lakers finish and potential re-signing incentives pivotal; no retirement announcement has emerged in the past 30 days to shift sentiment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,708
Data de Término
21 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 1:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"LeBron James vai se aposentar antes da próxima temporada da NBA?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "LeBron James vai se aposentar antes da próxima temporada da NBA?" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "LeBron James vai se aposentar antes da próxima temporada da NBA?" has generated $23.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "LeBron James vai se aposentar antes da próxima temporada da NBA?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "LeBron James vai se aposentar antes da próxima temporada da NBA?" is "LeBron James vai se aposentar antes da próxima temporada da NBA?" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "LeBron James vai se aposentar antes da próxima temporada da NBA?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.