Harry and Harriet's viral Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam in Traverse City, Michigan, has traders glued to dual livestreams tracking three eggs laid March 2, 5, and 8—putting the first eaglet emergence on a classic 35-38 day incubation trajectory peaking April 6-12. No pips or chirps confirmed through April 4 despite steady brooding amid spring thaws, shifting trader consensus to April 8 (29%) as the frontrunner, edging April 9 (24.5%) and April 7 (17.5%) in a nail-biter reflecting hatch variability and later-egg competition. This skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom highlights real-time nest dynamics like parental shifts and weather impacts, with pip watch intensifying as breakthrough signs could swing odds dramatically before the April 16 cutoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoWhen will the first eaglet hatch?
When will the first eaglet hatch?
April 8 29%
April 9 25%
April 7 18%
April 10 12%
$53,552 Vol.
$53,552 Vol.
April 4
1%
April 5
1%
April 6
6%
April 7
18%
April 8
29%
April 9
25%
April 10
12%
April 11
5%
April 12
2%
April 13
1%
April 14
1%
April 15
<1%
April 16
<1%
No Hatch before April 17
7%
April 8 29%
April 9 25%
April 7 18%
April 10 12%
$53,552 Vol.
$53,552 Vol.
April 4
1%
April 5
1%
April 6
6%
April 7
18%
April 8
29%
April 9
25%
April 10
12%
April 11
5%
April 12
2%
April 13
1%
April 14
1%
April 15
<1%
April 16
<1%
No Hatch before April 17
7%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Harry and Harriet's viral Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam in Traverse City, Michigan, has traders glued to dual livestreams tracking three eggs laid March 2, 5, and 8—putting the first eaglet emergence on a classic 35-38 day incubation trajectory peaking April 6-12. No pips or chirps confirmed through April 4 despite steady brooding amid spring thaws, shifting trader consensus to April 8 (29%) as the frontrunner, edging April 9 (24.5%) and April 7 (17.5%) in a nail-biter reflecting hatch variability and later-egg competition. This skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom highlights real-time nest dynamics like parental shifts and weather impacts, with pip watch intensifying as breakthrough signs could swing odds dramatically before the April 16 cutoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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