Virginia's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 72.5% victory margin in 2024. Incumbent Morgan Griffith seeks re-election on the November 3, 2026 general election ballot after prevailing in the August 4 Republican primary, while multiple Democratic candidates compete in their own primary for the nomination. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns in rural southwest Virginia. Trader consensus at 94.3% for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant national partisan shift, unexpected primary upset, or major scandal involving the incumbent could still influence the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVA-09 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
VA-09 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$42,603 Vol.
$42,603 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Democrata
7%
$42,603 Vol.
$42,603 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$33,183 Vol.
94%
Partido Democrata
$9,420 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 72.5% victory margin in 2024. Incumbent Morgan Griffith seeks re-election on the November 3, 2026 general election ballot after prevailing in the August 4 Republican primary, while multiple Democratic candidates compete in their own primary for the nomination. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns in rural southwest Virginia. Trader consensus at 94.3% for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant national partisan shift, unexpected primary upset, or major scandal involving the incumbent could still influence the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$42,603Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 72.5% victory margin in 2024. Incumbent Morgan Griffith seeks re-election on the November 3, 2026 general election ballot after prevailing in the August 4 Republican primary, while multiple Democratic candidates compete in their own primary for the nomination. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns in rural southwest Virginia. Trader consensus at 94.3% for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant national partisan shift, unexpected primary upset, or major scandal involving the incumbent could still influence the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,603Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 72.5% victory margin in 2024. Incumbent Morgan Griffith seeks re-election on the November 3, 2026 general election ballot after prevailing in the August 4 Republican primary, while multiple Democratic candidates compete in their own primary for the nomination. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns in rural southwest Virginia. Trader consensus at 94.3% for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant national partisan shift, unexpected primary upset, or major scandal involving the incumbent could still influence the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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