Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-unanimous confidence that Hulu's hit reality series The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives will not face Season 5 cancellation by April 15, driven by the network's prior renewal and repeated cast affirmations that production pause—triggered March 16 amid Taylor Frankie Paul's domestic violence investigation with ex Dakota Mortensen—is temporary. Credible reports from Deadline and Variety confirm filming halt for police and third-party probes but expect resumption without derailing the timeline, bolstered by the show's strong streaming metrics and MomTok cultural staying power. Realistic upsets remain slim: prolonged fallout or cast exodus could prompt a late pivot, though no such signals have emerged in the past three weeks. Watch for investigation closure as the key near-term catalyst.