Oklahoma's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, with a partisan voting index that has consistently delivered GOP victories by wide margins in recent cycles. The open race stems from incumbent Kevin Hern's move to pursue the U.S. Senate seat left vacant by Markwayne Mullin, prompting a competitive Republican primary on June 16 featuring candidates such as Kim David and others. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced without opposition in his party's primary but confronts structural headwinds in the Tulsa-area district. This partisan baseline underpins the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing, with the Republican outcome viewed as the clear frontrunner absent major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOK-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
Partido Republicano
87%
Partido Democrata
13%
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
Partido Republicano
87%
Partido Democrata
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, with a partisan voting index that has consistently delivered GOP victories by wide margins in recent cycles. The open race stems from incumbent Kevin Hern's move to pursue the U.S. Senate seat left vacant by Markwayne Mullin, prompting a competitive Republican primary on June 16 featuring candidates such as Kim David and others. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced without opposition in his party's primary but confronts structural headwinds in the Tulsa-area district. This partisan baseline underpins the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing, with the Republican outcome viewed as the clear frontrunner absent major shifts in turnout or candidate positioning before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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