Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 90-110 million week 1 YouTube views for MrBeast's April 4 premiere, "Last Streamer to Leave the Cube Wins $1M for Fans," with 100-110M edging out at 29.5% implied probability amid tight competition from the 90-100M (24%) and 80-90M/110M+ bins (16.5% each). Recent "Trapped on an Island Until I Build a Boat" (March 21 upload) exploded to 36 million day-1 views—his strongest 24-hour start in months—but slowed to 93 million total after 12 days, signaling week 1 likely near 80M amid softening algorithmic momentum from the prior low-performing "I Built 10 Schools" (56M total). Key swings for the frontrunner: crossover hype from 50 streamers like IShowSpeed and xQc rallying gaming audiences, $1M prize virality, and MrBeast's "OG Beast" challenge pivot, though YouTube competition and retention risks cap upside potential. Watch initial upload velocity post-drop for deadlock-breaker.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
100-110M 30%
90-100M 24%
110M+ 17%
80-90M 17%
$77,822 Vol.
$77,822 Vol.
<60M
2%
60-70M
3%
70-80M
6%
80-90M
17%
90-100M
24%
100-110M
30%
110M+
17%
100-110M 30%
90-100M 24%
110M+ 17%
80-90M 17%
$77,822 Vol.
$77,822 Vol.
<60M
2%
60-70M
3%
70-80M
6%
80-90M
17%
90-100M
24%
100-110M
30%
110M+
17%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 90-110 million week 1 YouTube views for MrBeast's April 4 premiere, "Last Streamer to Leave the Cube Wins $1M for Fans," with 100-110M edging out at 29.5% implied probability amid tight competition from the 90-100M (24%) and 80-90M/110M+ bins (16.5% each). Recent "Trapped on an Island Until I Build a Boat" (March 21 upload) exploded to 36 million day-1 views—his strongest 24-hour start in months—but slowed to 93 million total after 12 days, signaling week 1 likely near 80M amid softening algorithmic momentum from the prior low-performing "I Built 10 Schools" (56M total). Key swings for the frontrunner: crossover hype from 50 streamers like IShowSpeed and xQc rallying gaming audiences, $1M prize virality, and MrBeast's "OG Beast" challenge pivot, though YouTube competition and retention risks cap upside potential. Watch initial upload velocity post-drop for deadlock-breaker.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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