Alireza Firouzja leads trader consensus at 47% implied probability to win Norway Chess 2026 after securing classical victories over Magnus Carlsen in round one and Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu in round two, building a 3.5-point advantage despite an ankle injury sustained before the event. Carlsen, the world number one and six-time Norway Chess champion, sits at 36% following his opening-round classical defeat and mixed armageddon results, though his historical dominance and home-country edge keep him close. Praggnanandhaa at 10.5%, Wesley So at 4.5%, world champion Gukesh Dommaraju at 2.8%, and Vincent Keymer at 2.4% trail amid the event's demanding classical-plus-armageddon format, where recent form and head-to-head results heavily influence positioning in the six-player open section.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAlireza Firouzja 47.2%
Magnus Carlsen 38%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 10.3%
Wesley So 4.2%
$58,226 Vol.
$58,226 Vol.
Alireza Firouzja
47%
Magnus Carlsen
38%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
10%
Wesley So
4%
Gukesh Dommaraju
3%
Vincent Keymer
2%
Alireza Firouzja 47.2%
Magnus Carlsen 38%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 10.3%
Wesley So 4.2%
$58,226 Vol.
$58,226 Vol.
Alireza Firouzja
47%
Magnus Carlsen
38%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
10%
Wesley So
4%
Gukesh Dommaraju
3%
Vincent Keymer
2%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alireza Firouzja leads trader consensus at 47% implied probability to win Norway Chess 2026 after securing classical victories over Magnus Carlsen in round one and Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu in round two, building a 3.5-point advantage despite an ankle injury sustained before the event. Carlsen, the world number one and six-time Norway Chess champion, sits at 36% following his opening-round classical defeat and mixed armageddon results, though his historical dominance and home-country edge keep him close. Praggnanandhaa at 10.5%, Wesley So at 4.5%, world champion Gukesh Dommaraju at 2.8%, and Vincent Keymer at 2.4% trail amid the event's demanding classical-plus-armageddon format, where recent form and head-to-head results heavily influence positioning in the six-player open section.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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