Nathan MacKinnon and Nikita Kucherov dominate trader consensus for the Hart Trophy, their 50% and 42.3% implied probabilities reflecting parallel statistical explosions amid strong team starts for Colorado and Tampa Bay. MacKinnon leads the NHL with 52 points through 29 games, fueling the Avalanche's Central Division lead, while Kucherov trails closely at 49 points, anchoring the Lightning atop the Atlantic on a franchise-record pace. This neck-and-neck scoring duel—both exceeding 1.7 points per game—mirrors past Hart races won by 130+ point producers on playoff contenders, with McDavid's Oilers slump dropping him to 5.2%. Recent surges, like MacKinnon's four-goal week and Kucherov's power-play mastery, sustain the tight dynamics as voters weigh individual brilliance against team impact.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNathan MacKinnon 50%
Nikita Kucherov 42.4%
Connor McDavid 5.4%
Macklin Celebrini 4.5%
$172,824 Vol.
$172,824 Vol.
Nathan MacKinnon
50%
Nikita Kucherov
42%
Connor McDavid
5%
Macklin Celebrini
5%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Evan Bouchard
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Jonathan Huberdeau
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Elias Lindholm
<1%
Jonathan Toews
<1%
Logan Stankoven
<1%
Trevor Zegras
<1%
Nikolaj Ehlers
<1%
Claude Giroux
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Matty Beniers
<1%
Ryan O'Reilly
<1%
Dylan Strome
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Patrick Kane
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Zach Werenski
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Ilya Sorokin
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
John-Jason Peterka
<1%
Brayden Point
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Owen Tippett
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Alexander Ovechkin
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Ivan Demidov
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Evgeni Malkin
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Alexis Lafrenière
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
Lucas Raymond
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Mark Scheifele
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Matt Boldy
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon 50%
Nikita Kucherov 42.4%
Connor McDavid 5.4%
Macklin Celebrini 4.5%
$172,824 Vol.
$172,824 Vol.
Nathan MacKinnon
50%
Nikita Kucherov
42%
Connor McDavid
5%
Macklin Celebrini
5%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Evan Bouchard
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Jonathan Huberdeau
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Elias Lindholm
<1%
Jonathan Toews
<1%
Logan Stankoven
<1%
Trevor Zegras
<1%
Nikolaj Ehlers
<1%
Claude Giroux
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Matty Beniers
<1%
Ryan O'Reilly
<1%
Dylan Strome
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Patrick Kane
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Zach Werenski
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Ilya Sorokin
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
John-Jason Peterka
<1%
Brayden Point
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Owen Tippett
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Alexander Ovechkin
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Ivan Demidov
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Evgeni Malkin
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Alexis Lafrenière
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
Lucas Raymond
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Mark Scheifele
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Matt Boldy
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 22, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nathan MacKinnon and Nikita Kucherov dominate trader consensus for the Hart Trophy, their 50% and 42.3% implied probabilities reflecting parallel statistical explosions amid strong team starts for Colorado and Tampa Bay. MacKinnon leads the NHL with 52 points through 29 games, fueling the Avalanche's Central Division lead, while Kucherov trails closely at 49 points, anchoring the Lightning atop the Atlantic on a franchise-record pace. This neck-and-neck scoring duel—both exceeding 1.7 points per game—mirrors past Hart races won by 130+ point producers on playoff contenders, with McDavid's Oilers slump dropping him to 5.2%. Recent surges, like MacKinnon's four-goal week and Kucherov's power-play mastery, sustain the tight dynamics as voters weigh individual brilliance against team impact.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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