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icon for Novo CBA da MLB até 1º de dezembro?
Desporto·MLB

Novo CBA da MLB até 1º de dezembro?

icon for Novo CBA da MLB até 1º de dezembro?
Desporto·MLB

Novo CBA da MLB até 1º de dezembro?

Sim

39% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

39% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB owners and the MLBPA kicked off initial collective bargaining talks this week in New York, marking the formal start of negotiations seven months ahead of the current CBA's expiration on Dec. 1, 2026, but trader consensus leans heavily toward No at 61.5% implied probability due to entrenched divides over a proposed salary cap and floor. Historical precedent from the 99-day 2022 lockout underscores the challenges, as players bolstered their $415 million war chest while rejecting revenue-sharing reforms aimed at competitive balance. With luxury tax thresholds and free agency rules also in flux, the wisdom of crowds reflects skepticism that substantive progress can align disparate interests before the deadline, despite early engagement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,183
Data de Término
1 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB owners and the MLBPA kicked off initial collective bargaining talks this week in New York, marking the formal start of negotiations seven months ahead of the current CBA's expiration on Dec. 1, 2026, but trader consensus leans heavily toward No at 61.5% implied probability due to entrenched divides over a proposed salary cap and floor. Historical precedent from the 99-day 2022 lockout underscores the challenges, as players bolstered their $415 million war chest while rejecting revenue-sharing reforms aimed at competitive balance. With luxury tax thresholds and free agency rules also in flux, the wisdom of crowds reflects skepticism that substantive progress can align disparate interests before the deadline, despite early engagement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,183
Data de Término
1 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Novo CBA da MLB até 1º de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Novo Acordo Coletivo da MLB até 1º de dezembro?" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Novo CBA da MLB até 1º de dezembro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Novo CBA da MLB até 1º de dezembro?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Novo CBA da MLB até 1º de dezembro?" is "Novo Acordo Coletivo da MLB até 1º de dezembro?" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Novo CBA da MLB até 1º de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.