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Desporto·Prémios

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Market icon
Desporto·Prémios

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Warren Schaeffer 45%

Craig Counsell 44%

Pat Murphy 44%

Rob Thomson 44%

Polymarket

$15,103 Vol.

Warren Schaeffer 45%

Craig Counsell 44%

Pat Murphy 44%

Rob Thomson 44%

Polymarket

$15,103 Vol.

Warren Schaeffer

$3,007 Vol.

45%

Craig Counsell

$0 Vol.

44%

Pat Murphy

$0 Vol.

44%

Rob Thomson

$0 Vol.

44%

Tony Vitello

$0 Vol.

44%

Craig Stammen

$0 Vol.

44%

Walt Weiss

$0 Vol.

38%

Dave Roberts

$0 Vol.

38%

Torey Lovullo

$0 Vol.

38%

Oliver Marmol

$0 Vol.

38%

Clayton McCullough

$0 Vol.

16%

Terry Francona

$2,740 Vol.

15%

Blake Butera

$0 Vol.

13%

Carlos Mendoza

$9,319 Vol.

-

Don Kelly

$38 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket's NL Manager of the Year market shows an extraordinarily tight race, with Carlos Mendoza (Mets), Dave Roberts (Dodgers), Craig Counsell (Cubs), Pat Murphy (Brewers), and Tony Vitello (Giants) all at 44% implied probabilities just one week into the 2026 MLB season. This parity stems from early volatility—Brewers lead NL Central at 6-1 under Murphy, fresh off back-to-back division titles and a recent extension, while Dodgers sit atop NL West at 5-2—but no team has separated amid widespread contender rosters boosted by stars like Mets' Juan Soto. Key differentiators include Murphy's proven turnaround momentum, Roberts' perennial playoff pedigree, Vitello's buzzy college-to-pros narrative highlighted by his first MLB win, and Counsell's Cubs rebuild traction. Swing factors hinge on sustained division leads, injury navigation, and midseason surges toward October, as historical voting favors regular-season overachievers.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,103
Data de Término
19 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket's NL Manager of the Year market shows an extraordinarily tight race, with Carlos Mendoza (Mets), Dave Roberts (Dodgers), Craig Counsell (Cubs), Pat Murphy (Brewers), and Tony Vitello (Giants) all at 44% implied probabilities just one week into the 2026 MLB season. This parity stems from early volatility—Brewers lead NL Central at 6-1 under Murphy, fresh off back-to-back division titles and a recent extension, while Dodgers sit atop NL West at 5-2—but no team has separated amid widespread contender rosters boosted by stars like Mets' Juan Soto. Key differentiators include Murphy's proven turnaround momentum, Roberts' perennial playoff pedigree, Vitello's buzzy college-to-pros narrative highlighted by his first MLB win, and Counsell's Cubs rebuild traction. Swing factors hinge on sustained division leads, injury navigation, and midseason surges toward October, as historical voting favors regular-season overachievers.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,103
Data de Término
19 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Warren Schaeffer" at 45%, followed by "Craig Counsell" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" has generated $15.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: NL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is "Warren Schaeffer" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Craig Counsell" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.