Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Shohei Ohtani as the frontrunner for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award at 46.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant spring training finale—11 strikeouts over six innings against the Angels—affirming full health for two-way duties and elite hitting form following his 2025 MVP campaign. Ronald Acuña Jr. trails closely at 34.5%, buoyed by recent injury updates confirming recovery from prior ACL tears, early base-stealing displays, and projections for another 40/40 threat in Atlanta's potent lineup. Juan Soto's 16% share reflects bullish FanGraphs projections in his second Mets season after shifting to left field, while Kyle Schwarber's 13% stems from sustained power (second-most NL homers since 2021) as Phillies DH, though batting average concerns linger amid a competitive field.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor
MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor
Shohei Ohtani 26%
Ronald Acuña Jr. 25.6%
Juan Soto 20%
Kyle Schwarber 8%
$114,247 Vol.
$114,247 Vol.
Shohei Ohtani
45%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
26%
Juan Soto
20%
Kyle Schwarber
11%
Mookie Betts
2%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Bryce Harper
1%
Ketel Marte
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
Shohei Ohtani 26%
Ronald Acuña Jr. 25.6%
Juan Soto 20%
Kyle Schwarber 8%
$114,247 Vol.
$114,247 Vol.
Shohei Ohtani
45%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
26%
Juan Soto
20%
Kyle Schwarber
11%
Mookie Betts
2%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
1%
Bryce Harper
1%
Ketel Marte
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Shohei Ohtani as the frontrunner for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award at 46.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant spring training finale—11 strikeouts over six innings against the Angels—affirming full health for two-way duties and elite hitting form following his 2025 MVP campaign. Ronald Acuña Jr. trails closely at 34.5%, buoyed by recent injury updates confirming recovery from prior ACL tears, early base-stealing displays, and projections for another 40/40 threat in Atlanta's potent lineup. Juan Soto's 16% share reflects bullish FanGraphs projections in his second Mets season after shifting to left field, while Kyle Schwarber's 13% stems from sustained power (second-most NL homers since 2021) as Phillies DH, though batting average concerns linger amid a competitive field.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions