Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award following his historic 2024 campaign with the Dodgers—leading MLB with 54 home runs, 130 RBI, and 59 stolen bases while posting a .310/.390/.646 slash line and 190 OPS+ as a full-time DH. Juan Soto's blockbuster 15-year, $765 million signing with the Mets on December 10 elevates him to 21.5%, injecting elite on-base skills (.419 OBP) and power (41 HR in AL last year) into an NL lineup primed for Citi Field. Ronald Acuña Jr. (25.1%) and Kyle Schwarber (25.0%) reflect upside from Acuña's speed-power combo post-injury recovery and Schwarber's consistent 38-HR output with 104 RBI for the Phillies, though both trail Ohtani's all-around dominance amid health and age considerations heading into 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor
MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor
Shohei Ohtani 70%
Juan Soto 19%
Kyle Schwarber 15%
Mookie Betts 5.0%
Shohei Ohtani
49%
Juan Soto
19%
Kyle Schwarber
15%
Mookie Betts
5%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
5%
Bryce Harper
4%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
25%
Ketel Marte
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Shohei Ohtani 70%
Juan Soto 19%
Kyle Schwarber 15%
Mookie Betts 5.0%
Shohei Ohtani
49%
Juan Soto
19%
Kyle Schwarber
15%
Mookie Betts
5%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
5%
Bryce Harper
4%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
25%
Ketel Marte
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award following his historic 2024 campaign with the Dodgers—leading MLB with 54 home runs, 130 RBI, and 59 stolen bases while posting a .310/.390/.646 slash line and 190 OPS+ as a full-time DH. Juan Soto's blockbuster 15-year, $765 million signing with the Mets on December 10 elevates him to 21.5%, injecting elite on-base skills (.419 OBP) and power (41 HR in AL last year) into an NL lineup primed for Citi Field. Ronald Acuña Jr. (25.1%) and Kyle Schwarber (25.0%) reflect upside from Acuña's speed-power combo post-injury recovery and Schwarber's consistent 38-HR output with 104 RBI for the Phillies, though both trail Ohtani's all-around dominance amid health and age considerations heading into 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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