Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability as the defending 2025 NL Hank Aaron Award winner after a historic season with 55 home runs, league-leading 146 runs scored, 380 total bases, and a 1.014 OPS while also pitching effectively for the Dodgers. Kyle Schwarber's breakout 2025 campaign—MLB-leading 56 homers, 132 RBIs, and .928 OPS—positions him strongly at 32.5% despite a lower batting average, fueling expectations of sustained power from Citizens Bank Park. Ronald Acuña Jr. sits at 35% on rebound potential after a .290 average and 21 homers in 95 games amid injury setbacks, now fully healthy entering 2026. Juan Soto's solid Mets debut (.263/.921 OPS, 43 HR, 38 SB) trails at 19%, with the market reflecting a tightly contested race among proven sluggers absent recent spring training injuries or roster disruptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor
MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor
Juan Soto 15%
Kyle Schwarber 11%
Mookie Betts 3.0%
Fernando Tatis Jr. 3.0%
$111,252 Vol.
$111,252 Vol.
Juan Soto
15%
Kyle Schwarber
11%
Mookie Betts
3%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
3%
Bryce Harper
2%
Ketel Marte
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
53%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
35%
Juan Soto 15%
Kyle Schwarber 11%
Mookie Betts 3.0%
Fernando Tatis Jr. 3.0%
$111,252 Vol.
$111,252 Vol.
Juan Soto
15%
Kyle Schwarber
11%
Mookie Betts
3%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
3%
Bryce Harper
2%
Ketel Marte
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
53%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
35%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability as the defending 2025 NL Hank Aaron Award winner after a historic season with 55 home runs, league-leading 146 runs scored, 380 total bases, and a 1.014 OPS while also pitching effectively for the Dodgers. Kyle Schwarber's breakout 2025 campaign—MLB-leading 56 homers, 132 RBIs, and .928 OPS—positions him strongly at 32.5% despite a lower batting average, fueling expectations of sustained power from Citizens Bank Park. Ronald Acuña Jr. sits at 35% on rebound potential after a .290 average and 21 homers in 95 games amid injury setbacks, now fully healthy entering 2026. Juan Soto's solid Mets debut (.263/.921 OPS, 43 HR, 38 SB) trails at 19%, with the market reflecting a tightly contested race among proven sluggers absent recent spring training injuries or roster disruptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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