Incumbent Nikki Budzinski’s strong position in the Illinois 13th Congressional District stems from the seat’s underlying Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent support in recent cycles. Budzinski secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 76 percent of the vote and has outperformed national Democratic trends in prior general elections. Republican nominee Jeff Wilson, who won his primary with 67 percent, faces structural headwinds in a district shaped by Illinois’s congressional map that favors Democratic performance in population centers such as Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and parts of the Metro East. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle shifts could occur if national economic conditions or candidate-specific events materially alter turnout patterns before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-13 House Election Winner
IL-13 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,316 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$4,052 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nikki Budzinski’s strong position in the Illinois 13th Congressional District stems from the seat’s underlying Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent support in recent cycles. Budzinski secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 76 percent of the vote and has outperformed national Democratic trends in prior general elections. Republican nominee Jeff Wilson, who won his primary with 67 percent, faces structural headwinds in a district shaped by Illinois’s congressional map that favors Democratic performance in population centers such as Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and parts of the Metro East. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle shifts could occur if national economic conditions or candidate-specific events materially alter turnout patterns before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$7,369Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nikki Budzinski’s strong position in the Illinois 13th Congressional District stems from the seat’s underlying Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent support in recent cycles. Budzinski secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 76 percent of the vote and has outperformed national Democratic trends in prior general elections. Republican nominee Jeff Wilson, who won his primary with 67 percent, faces structural headwinds in a district shaped by Illinois’s congressional map that favors Democratic performance in population centers such as Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and parts of the Metro East. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle shifts could occur if national economic conditions or candidate-specific events materially alter turnout patterns before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,369Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Nikki Budzinski’s strong position in the Illinois 13th Congressional District stems from the seat’s underlying Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent support in recent cycles. Budzinski secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 76 percent of the vote and has outperformed national Democratic trends in prior general elections. Republican nominee Jeff Wilson, who won his primary with 67 percent, faces structural headwinds in a district shaped by Illinois’s congressional map that favors Democratic performance in population centers such as Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and parts of the Metro East. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle shifts could occur if national economic conditions or candidate-specific events materially alter turnout patterns before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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