Redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 shifted the district's partisan voting index to R+8, prompting nonpartisan forecasters to move ratings from Solid or Likely Democratic to Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto faces a more competitive general election environment on November 3 under the new lines, with Republican primary candidates already raising funds and positioning for the seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% Republican and 40% Democratic shares aligns with these structural changes and historical patterns in Florida districts following map adjustments, though primary outcomes on August 18 and any late-cycle developments could still influence final positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-09 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
FL-09 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$13,113 Vol.
$13,113 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
62%
Partido Democrata
40%
$13,113 Vol.
$13,113 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,982 Vol.
62%
Partido Democrata
$5,131 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 shifted the district's partisan voting index to R+8, prompting nonpartisan forecasters to move ratings from Solid or Likely Democratic to Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto faces a more competitive general election environment on November 3 under the new lines, with Republican primary candidates already raising funds and positioning for the seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% Republican and 40% Democratic shares aligns with these structural changes and historical patterns in Florida districts following map adjustments, though primary outcomes on August 18 and any late-cycle developments could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$13,113Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 shifted the district's partisan voting index to R+8, prompting nonpartisan forecasters to move ratings from Solid or Likely Democratic to Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto faces a more competitive general election environment on November 3 under the new lines, with Republican primary candidates already raising funds and positioning for the seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% Republican and 40% Democratic shares aligns with these structural changes and historical patterns in Florida districts following map adjustments, though primary outcomes on August 18 and any late-cycle developments could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,113Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 shifted the district's partisan voting index to R+8, prompting nonpartisan forecasters to move ratings from Solid or Likely Democratic to Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto faces a more competitive general election environment on November 3 under the new lines, with Republican primary candidates already raising funds and positioning for the seat. Trader consensus reflected in the 55% Republican and 40% Democratic shares aligns with these structural changes and historical patterns in Florida districts following map adjustments, though primary outcomes on August 18 and any late-cycle developments could still influence final positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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