Germany's 72% implied probability as Group E leader stems from their elite FIFA ranking, unbeaten run in recent friendlies—including a dramatic 4-3 comeback against Switzerland via Florian Wirtz's late double—and historical dominance in group stages, positioning them to top a winnable draw finalized last week. Ecuador's 21% trader consensus reflects strong CONMEBOL qualification and a resilient 1-1 draw versus Netherlands, highlighting counterattacking threat against weaker foes. Ivory Coast trails at 7.2% amid inconsistent Africa qualifiers, while Curaçao's 1.7% underscores minnow vulnerabilities exposed in a 5-1 FIFA Series loss to Australia three days ago, limiting upset potential despite Cinderella qualification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor do Grupo E da Copa do Mundo da FIFA
Vencedor do Grupo E da Copa do Mundo da FIFA
Alemanha 72%
Equador 21%
Costa do Marfim 7.2%
Curaçao 1.7%
$18,435 Vol.
$18,435 Vol.
Alemanha
72%
Equador
21%
Costa do Marfim
7%
Curaçao
2%
Alemanha 72%
Equador 21%
Costa do Marfim 7.2%
Curaçao 1.7%
$18,435 Vol.
$18,435 Vol.
Alemanha
72%
Equador
21%
Costa do Marfim
7%
Curaçao
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Germany's 72% implied probability as Group E leader stems from their elite FIFA ranking, unbeaten run in recent friendlies—including a dramatic 4-3 comeback against Switzerland via Florian Wirtz's late double—and historical dominance in group stages, positioning them to top a winnable draw finalized last week. Ecuador's 21% trader consensus reflects strong CONMEBOL qualification and a resilient 1-1 draw versus Netherlands, highlighting counterattacking threat against weaker foes. Ivory Coast trails at 7.2% amid inconsistent Africa qualifiers, while Curaçao's 1.7% underscores minnow vulnerabilities exposed in a 5-1 FIFA Series loss to Australia three days ago, limiting upset potential despite Cinderella qualification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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