The closely matched implied probabilities in this FIFA World Cup Group D market stem from four mid-tier national teams with comparable FIFA rankings between 16th and 40th and limited separation in recent form. Co-host USA holds a modest edge from home-soil scheduling across Los Angeles, Seattle and other venues, yet Türkiye’s strong UEFA playoff qualification and attacking talent keep the race tight. Australia’s consistent AFC qualification record and Paraguay’s CONMEBOL resilience further compress the field, with all sides familiar from recent friendlies. No single standout advantage has emerged to separate the top two contenders ahead of the June group stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEUA 40%
Turquia 37%
Paraguai 18%
Austrália 9.2%
$53,612 Vol.
$53,612 Vol.
EUA
40%
Turquia
37%
Paraguai
18%
Austrália
9%
EUA 40%
Turquia 37%
Paraguai 18%
Austrália 9.2%
$53,612 Vol.
$53,612 Vol.
EUA
40%
Turquia
37%
Paraguai
18%
Austrália
9%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched implied probabilities in this FIFA World Cup Group D market stem from four mid-tier national teams with comparable FIFA rankings between 16th and 40th and limited separation in recent form. Co-host USA holds a modest edge from home-soil scheduling across Los Angeles, Seattle and other venues, yet Türkiye’s strong UEFA playoff qualification and attacking talent keep the race tight. Australia’s consistent AFC qualification record and Paraguay’s CONMEBOL resilience further compress the field, with all sides familiar from recent friendlies. No single standout advantage has emerged to separate the top two contenders ahead of the June group stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions