Mexico benefits from co-host status and three matches on home soil, including the tournament opener at Estadio Azteca against South Africa and another at the same venue against Czechia, which underpins the 52% implied probability reflected in current trader consensus. South Korea and Czechia sit close behind at 20% and 20.5%, respectively, as both bring recent qualification momentum and established international experience, while South Africa trails at 5.8% amid a tougher path to consistent results. With the group stage opening in under three weeks and no major roster changes reported, home advantage and overall squad depth continue to shape positioning ahead of the June fixtures.