Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the Constructors' Championship standings after 18 races, with 396 points and consistent double podiums fueling 78.5% trader consensus for the title. Recent developments, including Lewis Hamilton's podium in Singapore and George Russell's recovery drives, underscore Mercedes' pace and reliability advantages over rivals facing engine penalties and strategy missteps. Ferrari trails at 14% implied probability, buoyed by Charles Leclerc's wins but hampered by Carlos Sainz's inconsistency and reliability woes. McLaren's surge (3.1%) reflects Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri's momentum, yet gaps in qualifying pace limit upside; Red Bull's (2.1%) slump stems from internal tensions and Max Verstappen's isolated carries. Remaining races favor Mercedes' tire management and track versatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMercedes 79%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 3.1%
Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$5,216,103 Vol.
$5,216,103 Vol.

Mercedes
79%

Ferrari
14%

McLaren
3%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%

Cadillac
<1%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Haas
<1%

Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 79%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 3.1%
Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$5,216,103 Vol.
$5,216,103 Vol.

Mercedes
79%

Ferrari
14%

McLaren
3%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%

Cadillac
<1%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Haas
<1%

Alpine
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the Constructors' Championship standings after 18 races, with 396 points and consistent double podiums fueling 78.5% trader consensus for the title. Recent developments, including Lewis Hamilton's podium in Singapore and George Russell's recovery drives, underscore Mercedes' pace and reliability advantages over rivals facing engine penalties and strategy missteps. Ferrari trails at 14% implied probability, buoyed by Charles Leclerc's wins but hampered by Carlos Sainz's inconsistency and reliability woes. McLaren's surge (3.1%) reflects Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri's momentum, yet gaps in qualifying pace limit upside; Red Bull's (2.1%) slump stems from internal tensions and Max Verstappen's isolated carries. Remaining races favor Mercedes' tire management and track versatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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