Tottenham Hotspur’s position in the final-day Premier League relegation battle underpins the 77% implied probability of finishing 17th. With Spurs on 38 points and superior goal difference two points clear of West Ham United, a draw or win against Everton at home would secure Premier League survival regardless of the Hammers’ result against Leeds. West Ham’s path to 17th requires a victory and a Spurs defeat, scenarios the market prices as far less likely. Recent form swings, managerial changes at both clubs, and the narrow points gap have kept the contest alive into the closing weekend, though Tottenham’s historical resilience and current standing give traders clear consensus on the likely outcome.