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'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?

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'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?

0% chance
Polymarket

$36,152 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$36,152 Vol.

This is a market on whether 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than 'Dune' (2023) did, namely more than $41,011,174. The “Domestic Weekend” figure on Box Office Mojo for each film ('Dune': https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1160419/ ; 'Dune: Part Two': https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses more than $41,011,174 on its 3-day opening. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

This is a market on whether 'Dune: Part Two' (2024) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than 'Dune' (2023) did, namely more than $41,011,174. The “Domestic Weekend” figure on Box Office Mojo for each film ('Dune': https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1160419/ ; 'Dune: Part Two': https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 1 - March 3) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses more than $41,011,174 on its 3-day opening. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?" has generated $36.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 14, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.