Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank seeks a second term in Colorado’s 5th District, an area rated R+5 on the partisan voting index and consistently rated Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Crank benefits from the district’s longstanding GOP tilt and his 2024 victory margin, though the seat has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Democratic primary contenders Jessica Killin and Joe Reagan will decide their nominee on June 30; Killin, an Army veteran and former congressional aide, has raised over $2.2 million and holds more cash on hand than Crank, earning inclusion in the DCCC’s Red to Blue program. An internal poll from late 2025 showed the general election near a toss-up before recent positioning. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 59.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s structural lean while acknowledging Killin’s fundraising edge and the potential for unaffiliated voters to narrow the margin in November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCO-05 House Election Winner
CO-05 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
36%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$601 Vol.
65%
Democratic Party
$5,413 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank seeks a second term in Colorado’s 5th District, an area rated R+5 on the partisan voting index and consistently rated Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Crank benefits from the district’s longstanding GOP tilt and his 2024 victory margin, though the seat has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Democratic primary contenders Jessica Killin and Joe Reagan will decide their nominee on June 30; Killin, an Army veteran and former congressional aide, has raised over $2.2 million and holds more cash on hand than Crank, earning inclusion in the DCCC’s Red to Blue program. An internal poll from late 2025 showed the general election near a toss-up before recent positioning. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 59.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s structural lean while acknowledging Killin’s fundraising edge and the potential for unaffiliated voters to narrow the margin in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,014Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank seeks a second term in Colorado’s 5th District, an area rated R+5 on the partisan voting index and consistently rated Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Crank benefits from the district’s longstanding GOP tilt and his 2024 victory margin, though the seat has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Democratic primary contenders Jessica Killin and Joe Reagan will decide their nominee on June 30; Killin, an Army veteran and former congressional aide, has raised over $2.2 million and holds more cash on hand than Crank, earning inclusion in the DCCC’s Red to Blue program. An internal poll from late 2025 showed the general election near a toss-up before recent positioning. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 59.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s structural lean while acknowledging Killin’s fundraising edge and the potential for unaffiliated voters to narrow the margin in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,014Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank seeks a second term in Colorado’s 5th District, an area rated R+5 on the partisan voting index and consistently rated Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Crank benefits from the district’s longstanding GOP tilt and his 2024 victory margin, though the seat has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Democratic primary contenders Jessica Killin and Joe Reagan will decide their nominee on June 30; Killin, an Army veteran and former congressional aide, has raised over $2.2 million and holds more cash on hand than Crank, earning inclusion in the DCCC’s Red to Blue program. An internal poll from late 2025 showed the general election near a toss-up before recent positioning. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 59.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s structural lean while acknowledging Killin’s fundraising edge and the potential for unaffiliated voters to narrow the margin in November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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