In Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, an R+5 battleground where Republican incumbent Jeff Hurd narrowly won in 2024, trader consensus slightly favors Democrats at 52.5% over Republicans at 45%, reflecting midterm headwinds for the president's party and Hurd's recent vulnerabilities. Trump withdrew then re-endorsed Hurd last month after lobbying from House GOP leaders over a tariff vote dispute, while Republican primary challenger Hope Scheppelman recently dropped out to join the Trump administration, clearing Hurd's path to the June 30 nomination. Democrats' contested primary between Alex Kelloff and Dwayne Romero, selected at the March assembly, could unify behind a strong nominee, with a January poll showing Hurd at 48% to Kelloff's 39%. Fundraising edges and national generic ballot trends keep the race tight, pending fresh polls and endorsements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara CO-03
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara CO-03
Partido Republicano
61%
Partido Democrata
37%
Partido Republicano
61%
Partido Democrata
37%
If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, an R+5 battleground where Republican incumbent Jeff Hurd narrowly won in 2024, trader consensus slightly favors Democrats at 52.5% over Republicans at 45%, reflecting midterm headwinds for the president's party and Hurd's recent vulnerabilities. Trump withdrew then re-endorsed Hurd last month after lobbying from House GOP leaders over a tariff vote dispute, while Republican primary challenger Hope Scheppelman recently dropped out to join the Trump administration, clearing Hurd's path to the June 30 nomination. Democrats' contested primary between Alex Kelloff and Dwayne Romero, selected at the March assembly, could unify behind a strong nominee, with a January poll showing Hurd at 48% to Kelloff's 39%. Fundraising edges and national generic ballot trends keep the race tight, pending fresh polls and endorsements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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