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Desporto·Xadrez

Fabiano Caruana vs. Yi Wei - Candidatos FIDE 2026 Abertos (Rodada 3)

Market icon
Desporto·Xadrez

Fabiano Caruana vs. Yi Wei - Candidatos FIDE 2026 Abertos (Rodada 3)

Yi Wei 49%

Fabiano Caruana 0

Draw (Fabiano Caruana vs. Yi Wei) 0

Polymarket
NOVO

Yi Wei 49%

Fabiano Caruana 0

Draw (Fabiano Caruana vs. Yi Wei) 0

Polymarket
NOVO

Fabiano Caruana

$6 Vol.

48%

Draw (Fabiano Caruana vs. Yi Wei)

$6 Vol.

49%

Yi Wei

$182 Vol.

49%

In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026 If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026 If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026 If Yi Wei wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a draw at 65% implied probability for Fabiano Caruana versus Wei Yi in Round 3 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, underscoring the matchup's solidity in a double round-robin qualifier for the world championship cycle. Caruana leads the standings at 1.5/2 after a key Round 1 victory over rival Hikaru Nakamura (2795 ELO) and a Round 2 draw, bolstering his 30% win probability despite facing Wei Yi with the white pieces. Wei Yi sits at 1.0/2 from draws against Matthias Bluebaum and R Praggnanandhaa, reflecting his defensive resilience (2754 ELO) and fueling his 27.5% upset chance. Elite preparation and high-level caution in Cyprus' Cap St Georges venue drive the draw-heavy sentiment, with no reported health issues.

In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$194
Data de Término
7 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://lichess.org/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026 If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026 If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026 If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026 If Yi Wei wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a draw at 65% implied probability for Fabiano Caruana versus Wei Yi in Round 3 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, underscoring the matchup's solidity in a double round-robin qualifier for the world championship cycle. Caruana leads the standings at 1.5/2 after a key Round 1 victory over rival Hikaru Nakamura (2795 ELO) and a Round 2 draw, bolstering his 30% win probability despite facing Wei Yi with the white pieces. Wei Yi sits at 1.0/2 from draws against Matthias Bluebaum and R Praggnanandhaa, reflecting his defensive resilience (2754 ELO) and fueling his 27.5% upset chance. Elite preparation and high-level caution in Cyprus' Cap St Georges venue drive the draw-heavy sentiment, with no reported health issues.

In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$194
Data de Término
7 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://lichess.org/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026 If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Fabiano Caruana vs. Yi Wei - Candidatos FIDE 2026 Abertos (Rodada 3)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Draw (Fabiano Caruana vs. Yi Wei)" at 49%, followed by "Yi Wei" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Fabiano Caruana vs. Yi Wei - Candidatos FIDE 2026 Abertos (Rodada 3)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Fabiano Caruana vs. Yi Wei - Candidatos FIDE 2026 Abertos (Rodada 3)," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Fabiano Caruana vs. Yi Wei - Candidatos FIDE 2026 Abertos (Rodada 3)" is "Draw (Fabiano Caruana vs. Yi Wei)" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yi Wei" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Fabiano Caruana vs. Yi Wei - Candidatos FIDE 2026 Abertos (Rodada 3)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.