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icon for Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?

160-179 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$2,605,637 Vol.

160-179 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$2,605,637 Vol.

<20

$9,675 Vol.

No

20-39

$11,645 Vol.

No

40-59

$10,645 Vol.

No

60-79

$37,000 Vol.

No

80-99

$48,128 Vol.

No

100-119

$84,296 Vol.

No

120-139

$133,846 Vol.

No

140-159

$327,982 Vol.

No

160-179

$360,231 Vol.

Yes

180-199

$288,699 Vol.

No

200-219

$322,143 Vol.

No

220-239

$184,067 Vol.

No

240-259

$170,680 Vol.

No

260-279

$120,395 Vol.

No

280-299

$115,687 Vol.

No

300-319

$94,852 Vol.

No

320-339

$58,938 Vol.

No

340-359

$40,610 Vol.

No

360-379

$46,547 Vol.

No

380-399

$27,827 Vol.

No

400-419

$25,589 Vol.

No

420-439

$7,227 Vol.

No

440-459

$15,453 Vol.

No

460-479

$7,847 Vol.

No

480-499

$7,862 Vol.

No

500+

$47,766 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s sustained high-volume posting on X, averaging roughly 23–25 posts daily through the first week of August with a notable 41-tweet spike on August 9 tied to Grok updates, Tesla loyalty data, and real-time commentary on current events, has locked trader consensus on the 160–179 range. Ongoing activity around xAI features, Starlink integrations, and SpaceX milestones continues to support elevated output consistent with his established pattern of frequent engagement. An upset into adjacent brackets would require an abrupt slowdown below recent norms or an unexpected final-day surge exceeding historical peaks, though the week’s observed pace leaves little room for such variance at resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,605,637
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s sustained high-volume posting on X, averaging roughly 23–25 posts daily through the first week of August with a notable 41-tweet spike on August 9 tied to Grok updates, Tesla loyalty data, and real-time commentary on current events, has locked trader consensus on the 160–179 range. Ongoing activity around xAI features, Starlink integrations, and SpaceX milestones continues to support elevated output consistent with his established pattern of frequent engagement. An upset into adjacent brackets would require an abrupt slowdown below recent norms or an unexpected final-day surge exceeding historical peaks, though the week’s observed pace leaves little room for such variance at resolution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,605,637
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "160-179" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?" has generated $2.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is "160-179" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.